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Clayton Cramer's BLOG

Clayton's commentary on news and events of the day. Broadly speaking, I'm a conservative with libertarian sympathies (getting more conservative as my children get older).



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Saturday, October 23, 2004
 
Kerry's Secret Plan

My friend Don Kates has used his substantial undercover skills (especially that Amazonian parrot of his) to find out the story on John Kerry's secret plan for Iraq:
Since John Kerry announced the existence of his secret plan for victory over terrorism, public and media interest in its secret details has been intense Some of the details are finally surfacing based on perhaps inadvertent comments by the senator and his chief foreign policy adviser, Richard Holbrooke, Predictably the revealed details are stirring up multiple controversies. The controversies have, in turn, prompted various critical revisions of the secret plan.

The center-piece of the plan is the aggressive distribution here and abroad of millions of bumper stickers denouncing terrorism. These stickers will be in bright day-glow lettering with luminescent highlights for better visibility at night. The plan originally envisioned them being in green, red, yellow and black colors. That has now been revised to using neutral colors because of objections that use of an Islamic-Arab color scheme might be offensive to terrorists.

There have also been objections to some proposals for the bumper stickers' wording. Initially the idea was just one version of the sticker with the wording being "Defeat Terrorism." But that wording has been discarded as too belligerent and macho. Next the plan was revised to involve distributing different bumper sticker wordings calculated to appeal to different segments of the population. One wording would be used for East Coast people, another for West Coasters, another for Southerners, yet others for (respectively): intellectuals and Democrats; urban, suburban, and rural residents and yet another for the so-called NASCAR-types Unfortunately it turns out that all suggestions for wording that might appeal to Southerners or the NASCAR crowd seemed unacceptably aggressive to many or most of Kerry's staff and advisers. (Other objections have also been made, for instance the wording "Terrorism Sucks" was rejected as potentially offensive to women and gays.)

Finally the bumper sticker plan has gone back to the idea of a one-wording-suits-all bumper sticker. At this point the Kerry staff seems virtually agreed on the wording "Terrorism May Be Inappropriate."

This hyper-aggressive bumper sticker campaign will be supplemented by the display on all federal buildings of banners reading TERRORISM IS WRONG – but with the subtitle "Of Course, One Man's Terrorist is Another Man'; Freedom Fighter." In response to objections that this phraseology might make women feel excluded or diminished, there is a lot of sentiment to instead usng the subtitle "Of Course, One Person's Terrorist is Another Person's; Freedom Fighter."

A third part of the Kerry Plan which has leaked involves the use of B1 and B52 bombers equipped with a new form of "Daisy Cutter" bomb. Instead of explosives these bombs will be filled with leaflets and pamphlets deploring terrorism. The Kerry staff emphasizes that these materials will be very emphatically written.

A major official on the Kerry staff has stressed that not all of its elements will be so negative, however. Some elements of the Kerry Plan will seek to produce greater understanding between Americans and the peoples of the Middle East, For instance, recognizing that for decades various Middle Eastern and Islamic governments have been reprinting and distributing Arabic language versions of Hitler's autobiography MEIN KAMPF, the Kerry plan calls for mass distribution in the U.S. of English language copies of MEIN KAMPF. While everyone in the Kerry camp deplores the book's sentiments, they also recognize that terrorism can only be dispelled by promoting greater sensitivity to Islamic concerns among Americans.


 
Part Of Why I Appreciate The Guardian

Is their ability to make fools of themselves. This is the left-wing British newspaper that tried to recruit fellow left-wing Britons to write letters to Clark County, Ohio, trying to persuade them to vote for George Bush. The results were counterproductive:
The cancellation of the project came 24 hours after the first of some 14,000 letters from Guardian readers began arriving in Clark County. The missives led to widespread complaints about foreign interference in a US election.

It also prompted a surge of indignant local voters calling the county's Republican party offering to volunteer for Mr Bush.

The paper said it had closed the website where readers collected an address to write to and had abandoned plans to take four "winners" to visit voters in Clark County. Instead, the group would be taken to the "more tranquil" area of Washington.

...

The scheme seemed to backfired from the start as the reactions of the first recipients varied from indifference to anger and even alarm.

The surrender was announced in a lengthy "mea culpa" by Ian Katz, the G2 editor at The Guardian, who dreamed up the scheme.

He began with a lengthy denunciation of the American Right for over-reacting to his scheme, and painted his project as the victim of its own success, after many thousands of readers wrote to Clark County voters.

Further down the piece it became clear that Mr Katz was calling it quits. "Somewhere along the line, though, the good-humoured spirit of the enterprise got lost in translation," he wrote.

There had been mounting evidence that urging foreigners to send anti-Bush letters to Clark County - an isolated slice of the rural mid-West - was only hurting Senator John Kerry, the Democratic presidential candidate.

One senior local politician, speaking off the record to avoid offending his neighbours, said: "They picked the wrong county for many reasons. One is, we're very parochial. When people talk about The Guardian of London, they think you mean London, Ohio, which is in the next-door county. Another is, we have some issues with literacy round here."
Oh great! This guy (doubtless a Democrat) just called his neighbors parochial illiterates! Wouldn't they like to know who this "senior local politician" is! But I don't understand! If there's an illiteracy problem, why is he worried about his name getting in print? Those hayseeds won't be able to read it anyway!
Mr Katz wrote yesterday that the paper had considered the possibility, but "we didn't believe it". He insisted: "Folks in Clark County itself have best recognised the spirit of the enterprise. Local media coverage has been consistently fair and good humoured."

"Good-humoured" headlines in the local newspaper, the Springfield News-Sun have included "Butt Out Brits, voters say" and "Trashing letter campaign" - a reference to the fact that the first woman to receive a letter from a Guardian reader, Beverly Coale, threw it away, fearing it was from a terrorist.

Karen Henschen, a member of the executive committee of the Clark County Democratic party, said scrapping the project was "probably the best thing they could do".

The end of the scheme comes as a relief to Linda Rosicka, the director of the Clark County board of elections, who has been fielding dozens of interview requests from the world's media.

Yet there is one last Guardian letter Mrs Rosicka would still like to see - one containing a cheque for $25 (about £13), which the newspaper still owes her for its purchase of the county's electoral roll.


Friday, October 22, 2004
 
Why Are Oil Prices So High?

I've heard some of the explanations, and they make some sense: the hurricanes shut down production in the Gulf of Mexico for a while. There has been unrest in Angola. But the Iraq situation shouldn't matter much; they haven't shipped that much oil since Gulf War I. Dan Gifford, a long-time journalist, tells me about the following interesting items that he has heard recently. From financial journalist Jim Cramer (no relation) on CNBC's "Kudlow and Cramer" show:
I don't want to sound too conspiratorial here, but there's something about this oil market that just doesn't smell right. Do you think certain big hedge funds could be buying oil contracts to drive the market up in order to make our current leader [George W. Bush] look bad?
From Jon Burnham, Burnham Financial Group, October 12, 2004, CNBC-TV, "Closing Bell" 3:00 PM - 5:00 PM ET:
The price of oil is high because it's being pushed up by speculators and money from the big hedge funds. The important thing that gets lost in all that is that there is no shortage of crude oil in relation to current demand.
And from Adel al-Jubeir, Advisor to the Saudi Crown Prince September 28, 2004 at about 1:40 PM Pacific time, CNBC interview with Maria Bartaromo:
We believe the price of oil should be between $22 and $28 per barrel. $25 is a good reasonable price. There is no extra demand accompanying today's very high price for oil. We are seeing no extra customers lined up and there is no shortage of supply. The high prices we are seeing are due to speculation in the oil markets.
Then we have this interesting item from the New Yorker (of all places):
On August 6th, a week after the Democratic Convention, a clandestine summit meeting took place at the Aspen Institute, in Colorado’s Rocky Mountains. The participants, all Democrats, were sworn to secrecy, and few of them will discuss the event. One thing that is certain, however, is that the guests formed a tableau that not many people would associate with the Democratic Party of the past. Five billionaires joined half a dozen liberal leaders in a lengthy conversation about the future of progressive politics in America. The billionaires were not especially close socially, nor were they in complete agreement about politics or strategy. Yet they shared a common goal: to use their fortunes to engineer the defeat of President George W. Bush in the 2004 election.

“No one was supposed to know about this,” an assistant to one participant told me, declining to be named. “We don’t want people thinking it’s a cabal, or some sort of Masonic plot!” His concern was understandable: the prospect of rich men concentrating their wealth in order to sway an American election was an inflammatory one, particularly given the Democratic Party’s populist rhetoric....

The meeting’s organizer was Peter B. Lewis, the seventy-year-old reclusive chairman of the Progressive Corporation, an insurance company based in Cleveland, Ohio. He has spent much of 2004 discreetly directing millions of dollars to liberal groups allied with the Democratic Party, such as America Coming Together and MoveOn.org, while cruising the Mediterranean Sea on his two-hundred-and-fifty-foot yacht, Lone Ranger. The yacht has communications equipment that allows Lewis to monitor political developments in America while sunbathing off the coast of Italy.

...

Flying in from Arizona was John Sperling, an octogenarian businessman who in 1976 created the for-profit University of Phoenix....

Herb and Marion Sandler, a California couple in their seventies, came to Aspen looking for ways to give back to a country that had allowed them to prosper. The founders of Golden West Financial Corporation, a savings-and-loan company worth seventeen billion dollars, the Sandlers are devoted to the idea of preserving progressive income taxes and inheritance taxes.

The wealthiest participant at this meeting of hard-core partisans—and the one whose presence was the most surprising—was George Soros, the seventy-four-year-old Wall Street speculator turned philanthropist.

...

Sperling proposed a potential new project for the group: unionizing Wal-Mart workers. Soros, however, had no interest in union drives. He wanted to stay focussed on the main objective—ousting Bush. Yet he also warned the group against the idea of combatting right-wing propaganda with leftist demagoguery. “I do not have an interest in replacing one extremist movement with another,” he said.

Andrew Stern, the president of the Service Employees International Union, a holdover from the traditional working-class base of the Democratic Party, was also at the summit. In an interview not long ago, he conceded that consorting with billionaires had become a strange but increasingly common part of his job. “I have to admit, I used to think I was doing well when I met millionaires,” he said. “I’m glad we’ve got the billionaires with us. But it did feel a bit odd.”

...

The Quantum fund, a pool for hugely wealthy investors that profited by anticipating and exploiting price swings in foreign currencies, is famously iconoclastic. Soros recently passed much of the fund’s management to his two grown sons, Robert and Jonathan, but under his direction it rejected the prevailing orthodoxy about the rationality of the market in favor of the notion that markets were prone to chaos and distortions stemming from human error.
Now, the Quantum Fund is no stranger to oil trading. But what is interesting is another remark in the New Yorker article. After explaining that Soros has contributed $18.5 million to defeat George Bush:
Critics of Soros see his donations as brazenly hypocritical, considering that, until recently, he was a leading crusader for campaign-finance reform in America. Starting in the late nineteen-nineties, he donated eighteen million dollars to groups that supported the cause, and he is credited with having contributed significantly to the passage of the McCain-Feingold law. When Soros was asked about this reversal, he said, “This is the most important election of my lifetime. These aren’t normal times. The ends justify every legal means possible.”
Now, Soros has said in the past that he would give away all his billions if he could be guaranteed of defeating Bush--and you wonder, since Soros has been a big player in currency markets in the past, if he could be manipulating oil prices right now.

Remember this: until oil prices started skyrocketing in early summer, the economy seemed to be flying upwards. What would it cost for Soros, Lewis, and some of the other billionaires to manipulate oil markets? It doesn't have to last for long--just long enough to derail the economy into October. You don't need to actually buy hundreds of billions of dollars worth of oil. You can buy and sell oil future delivery contracts for a fraction of the final delivery price. (This highly leveraged nature of futures contracts is why you can make--or lose--an enormous amount of money in commodities trading.) Once you start playing with the price of a commodity, and causing panic buying, you can jerk the price up--or down--quite impressively.

I don't know for sure, but I would guess that people at Soros's level can probably spend two or three billion dollars to adjust future prices of 50 or 100 times that much oil--at least for a few months. The Quantum Fund was, back in the 1990s, what is called a "global macro fund", described this way:
By borrowing money to buy and sell futures contracts—themselves a powerful form of leverage—macro funds possessed the capability to move indexes like Japan's Nikkei or to influence significantly the value of important international currencies.
Now, supposedly the Quantum Fund isn't that powerful anymore. But is it powerful enough? Soros also returned to an active role in the Quantum Fund in 2002--after 9/11, when it became apparent that Soros was going to have to do something to bring down George Bush.

Large scale commodities market manipulation can't continue indefinitely, and you can lose your shirt on this sort of thing--but Soros has already said that he was willing to lose it all to defeat Bush. On the other hand, with a little care, he might actually make money. This article reports:
Soros, the founder of Quantum Endowment Fund, one of the world's largest hedge funds, was dubbed "The Man who broke the Bank of England" for his role in betting heavily that the pound would fall in 1992. As a result, Britain suffered a humiliating exit from Europe's exchange rate mechanism -- the precursor to Europe's 12-nation currency. It was rumored that Soros earned $1 billion in a day with his bet against the British pound.
Of course, I doubt that an oil play like this could be kept secret indefinitely--but certainly, President Kerry's Justice Department isn't going to prosecute George Soros for winning him the election. If we suddenly see oil prices drop down again after the election, I certainly hope the Bush Administration will take a serious look at possible market manipulation. But if Bush loses, there won't be investigation at all.


 
"If It Leeds, It Bleeds"

This used to be operating rule of local television news. I guess the problem has spread to "respectable" journalism:
BAGHDAD, Iraq--Basking in the sun by the Al Hamra Hotel swimming pool, a Spanish journalist complained to me that "all my editors want is blood, blood, blood. No context. No politics."


 
Hmmm, I Don't Know What To Make Of This

Okay, WorldNetDaily is somewhat out on the fringe in a lot of ways. What shall we make of this story about the bombing at the 1996 Atlanta Olympics?
Richard Clarke and the Clinton administration were understandably worried about terrorism. At one high-level planning meeting before the Olympics, Clarke has even theorized that terrorists might hijack a 747 and crash it into Olympic stadium. Remember the Bojinka-related "planes as bombs" plot. But in the "feel good" Olympic games of 1996, in the lead up to the Clinton re-nomination, when "everything is wonderful," no official even speculates as to whether Islamic terrorists might be behind the Olympic bombing.

Nor do contemporary media reports address the fact that the Centennial Park bomb was one out of many. A highly reliable Atlanta-area police officer who was working the Olympics has shared some new information with me. As he relates, the night after the Centennial Park blast, a bomb is found in the trunk of a car parked on the road between Olympic City and Centennial Park. The bomb squad defuses it with a 12-gauge slug from a distance after two hours of trying. Over the course of the next week or two, he and his fellow officers will get reports that different devices have also been found, including one on a MARTA train.

"The information wasn't really rumor," writes the officer, "because we were listening to it real-time on the radios – I wanted to make that clear."

Rather than alarm the Olympic-goers and the nation with the possibility of a widespread terror plot, the Clinton Justice Department suppresses information about the subsequent bombs and blames the one lethal blast on the transparently innocent Jewell. Its agents then hound Jewell all the way through the end of October.

...

The reporting on this incident is insufficient and inept. The best account, an 18,000-word piece in Vanity Fair, does not even mention the words Islam or Islamic even to dismiss them. Only Dick Morris has gone on record to call this a terrorist "attack."

Six months after the Centennial Park attack, a bomb goes off outside an Atlanta abortion clinic, and a month after that one explodes at the Otherside lounge, an Atlanta "gay" bar. This, of course, leads Clinton's Department Of Justice to pin it all, including the Olympics – a rather novel target for anti-abortion activists – on the mystical right-winger, Eric Rudolph.

But there is something to consider here. The first killing in the American jihad took place in November 1990 when an Egyptian by the name of El-Sayyid Nosair shot Jewish activist Meir Kahane at a New York Hotel. The first terrorist act in the American jihad had taken place in April of that year when the same Mr. Nosair blew up a "gay" bar in Greenwich Village.

And that brings us to great irony of the jihad. The America that the terrorists hate is progressive America: homosexual rights, abortion, radical feminism, pornography, MTV ... you name it. And yet, our progressive friends are almost pathetically eager to embrace radical Islam. Why? There's one thing they have in common: their shared distaste for America.


 
An Amazing Quote From John Kerry

He really has taken this "internationalist" idea a bit far, at least for an American President:
Kerry's belief in working with allies runs so deep that he has maintained that the loss of American life can be better justified if it occurs in the course of a mission with international support. In 1994, discussing the possibility of U.S. troops being killed in Bosnia, he said, "If you mean dying in the course of the United Nations effort, yes, it is worth that. If you mean dying American troops unilaterally going in with some false presumption that we can affect the outcome, the answer is unequivocally no."
Now, if the John Birch Society claimed that Kerry had said this, I would wonder about its accuracy. But this is from the Washington Post.


 
Another Suppression of Free Speech

A movie theater wanted to show a film critical of one of the candidates--and the threats of violence by the candidate's supporters caused the movie theater to cancel the showing, out of fear. One guess which side is using fascist tactics:
The emotion of this politically charged presidential election got the best of some people. People who came out to see the anti-Kerry film, "Stolen Honor" were already upset that management of the Baederwood Theater cancelled the showing after threats of civil disturbances.
You know, leftists had better think long and hard about their willingness to use violence and threats of violence to suppress free speech. Do they really want to turn violence into an acceptable form of political activity, especially when our side has most of the guns?


 
Interesting Documentary That Should Change A Lot of Minds

But few Americans will ever see it, probably because it would change too many minds about the election. It discusses the problems of guerilla warfare, during and after occupation. It pulls no punches: U.S. forces repeatedly violated the Geneva Convention in frustration, killing prisoners. The insurgents set off bombs, set mines in roadways, killed collaborators who worked with us, and killed our soldiers. Even those that weren't trying to kill us didn't want us there. We imprisoned 200,000 people, and tried 100,000. There were a lot of rapes and other forms of sexual abuse committed by allied troops.

But I guess that's where the differences start. You see, we executed at least 800 people for their involvement with the previous government. When Nazi guerillas operating in civilian clothes killed our soldiers, our military engaged in criminal behavior, executing without trial German soldiers who had been taken prisoner while obeying the law of land warfare. We tried and executed large numbers of German "Werewolf" fighters who were engaged in warfare even though not wearing uniforms, by military trial. Even two years later, some of these units were carrying out assassinations and bombings in German cities.

It took four years before Germany (at least, West Germany) was able to hold democratic elections, and ten years before we and the other allied powers gave Germany full authority over its own affairs--and we still have troops in Germany (although not as an occupying force).

I really wish that every American could see this documentary, and understand that what is going on Iraq is really not all that startling. There is, of course, one difference: Truman's political opponents weren't calling us evil for having overthrown Hitler, and ending a government that engaged in genocide and torture.


 
Moral Absolutism & Moral Relativism

Professor Volokh disagrees with Mike Adams's claim that Clifton Snider's problem is "moral relativism":
This argument that the Leftist excesses in the academy stem from "moral relativism" is one I've heard often -- but I wonder why we should think that moral relativism is the problem. In fact, as Prof. Adams points out, Prof. Clifton's error is that he's too morally dogmatic: He's so wedded to his position being morally right that he blinds himself to the possibilities that (1) he's mistaken, (2) even if he's correct, others may disagree with him without being bigoted or foolish, (3) in any event, it may be wrong for him to use his English class to spread his moral views about the Bush Administration or whatever else.
There are actually two separate issues here. Clifton Snider at CSULB is clearly a moral absolutist about homosexuality; if you disapprove of it, you are a homophobe, and you are going to burn in hell (or whatever the secular equivalent of it is).

For many years, as I was growing up, the argument in favor of allowing homosexuality (and then requiring everyone to approve of it) was that there are no moral absolutes, and therefore what two guys do in private is no one's business but their own. I don't think that anyone making that argument really believed it; the real issue was that homosexuals knew that the dominant moral code of American society said that homosexuality was wrong, and the conflict between what they did, and a moral abolutist position, meant that they had to jettison one or the other.

The complete moral relativist position--there is nothing right or wrong, whatever you want to do--is at least philosophically consistent. But few people believe in it, because then it allows homophobia, racism, sexism, apartheid, destruction of Mother Earth, eating meat, etc. A true moral relativist is reduced to defending his position, whatever that may be, by appealing to the listener's self-interest or selflessness. If he fails to persuade everyone else of his position, the moral relativist might not be happy, but since he doesn't believe in right and wrong, what's left? He can't even get all self-righteous about it, and mean it.

What I, and many others object to, is the claim that moral absolutism is WRONG (with capital letters and all the disapproval that goes with it)--followed up with what Clifton Snider is doing at CSULB. Dr. Snider is only doing openly what is actually a widespread but less openly stated view in many universities: "You are a sinner, because you do not worship at the idol of Political Correctness. We will hammer you in lectures and mark you down in classes until you see the error of your ways, and abandon your heresy. Be glad that we don't have the authority of the auto da fe... yet." What Dr. Snider is revealing is the fanaticism that gave us the Inquisition, the St. Bartholomew's Day Massacre, the Holocaust, the Killing Fields, and the Gulag Archipelago--a desperate fear that someone doesn't agree with you--and you know better.

I believe that there are moral absolutes; as I said above, almost everyone does. The difference is that I am sufficiently secure in my intellectual position that I don't immediately discount everyone that disagrees with me as a idiot or a fool. (But work at it--you can persuade me of that!) I have changed my political positions over the years, usually because I have found that a very ideologically satisfying argument did not fit my real world experiences very well. As the saying goes, "An ounce of experience is worth a pound of theory." As an example, I used to be a big fan of drug decriminalization. I still think that some form of it could be useful, but living in a place like Sonoma County where, for practical purposes, nearly all drugs are legal, effectively free, and supplied to many kids by their parents, makes me shudder at a full libertarian decriminalization strategy.

Occasionally, a very persuasive argument has caused me to rethink my position--sometimes because the argument is thoughtful, and sometimes because the ugliness of the counterargument has shaken me. I still oppose a complete ban on elective abortions, but only because such a law is not currently enforceable. You can't look at pictures of aborted fetuses anymore than you can look at pictures of corpses at Auschwitz without saying, "What happened here? Is this really something that shouldn't bother me?" I look forward to the day when 85% of the population agrees that elective abortions will be severely limited (perhaps for rape, incest, and life-threatening deformities), and the Constitution is amended to correct this.

I guess that's the difference between Dr. Snider and myself. I am not ashamed to call myself a moral absolutist.


 
How You Can Tell Liberals Have Been In Your Schools

It's the gags on the students:
A federal district judge has ordered Michigan’s Ann Arbor Public Schools to pay $102,738 in attorney fees and costs in a case involving a high school’s refusal to let a Christian student express her views on homosexuality.

In March 2002, at Pioneer High School’s “Diversity Week” program, Elizabeth “Betsy” Hansen, then a senior, was told she could not express her Roman Catholic viewpoint at the school’s “Homosexuality and Religion” panel discussion. The school also discriminated in limiting members of the panel to religious leaders who endorsed homosexuality, refusing to permit access to the panel for any clergy who would express another view.

A school official testified that he was concerned Betsy’s view would be “negative” and would “water down the view that the school’s Gay/Straight Alliance was trying to convey.” School authorities told Betsy that neither she nor a clergyman of her choice could participate in the panel, purportedly because she had missed one of two mandatory planning meetings.

Yet the evidence showed that Betsy was ill on the day of the first meeting, that she had sent a friend to communicate her desire to be on the panel, that she herself had met with the faculty adviser the next day to reiterate her desire to participate, that others who missed the meeting were allowed to participate in activities, and that following the missed meeting school officials continued to communicate with Betsy as though she would be allowed to participate. It was only after one faculty member concerned about a civil rights lawsuit canceled the panel, which was then reinstated by another school official after the Gay/Straight Alliance’s outcry, that Betsy was informed that her absence from the first mandatory meeting prevented her or her clergy representative from participating.
Of course, it isn't just in Michigan. It's pretty clear from reading Dr. Clifton Snider's web page that there is a reason he doesn't tolerate opposition to gay marriage--or maybe it is just a coincidence that he is rather specialized in Oscar Wilde.

There's nothing wrong with Oscar Wilde's literature--but let's not forget that he and lot of his circle spent their time hiring poor little boys for sex--sometimes traveling to countries even more impoverished than England to hire them cheap. This topic came up when my wife took Victorian Literature some years ago, but of course, since Wilde & friends were going after little boys, not little girls, the professor did her best to make excuses for it. (Let me add that you can find great intellectuals chasing little girls at the time, too. Flaubert wrote a rather graphic description of his sexual use of 13 and 14 year old Egyptian girls.)

Oh yes: homosexuals are just like the rest of us, except for who they love--and often they beat those that they love. At least, that's what homosexuals seem to be saying:
(CNSNews.com) - The Gay and Lesbian Medical Association is launching a first-of-its-kind "LGBT Relationship Violence Project" to educate medical professionals about domestic violence in lesbian, gay, bisexual and/or transgender communities.

The project will be paid for by a $50,000 grant from the Blue Shield of California Foundation, the Gay and Lesbian Medical Association (GLMA) announced in a press release.

"The Blue Shield of California Foundation recognizes that little attention has been paid to domestic violence in LGBT contexts, and that GLMA is uniquely positioned to educate medical professionals and the larger LGBT community about this widely neglected, serious health issue," said Marianne Balin, who manages the Blue Shield of California Foundation's anti-violence program.

The Relationship Violence Project will be formally launched at GLMA's 22nd Annual Conference, on October 21-23, in Rancho Mirage, California.

"Domestic violence is a hugely ignored health issue in the LGBT communities, affecting one in three LGBT relationships," said Susan Holt, an expert on LGBT domestic violence prevention.
One in three? I know that there is domestic violence in straight homes; my wife and I are trying to help out in a couple of situations that we know about here in Boise. But one in three?

I managed to get all the way to 15 years old before I was even aware that domestic violence existed. I was sitting in a car with my mother in Oregon, and I saw a guy in a car not far from us suddenly and without apparent provocation hit the woman in the passenger's seat. If the sun had suddenly exploded, I could not have been more startled: men hitting women? What?

UPDATE: I received an email from someone who runs a website devoted to raising awareness of domestic violence. One of the links was to a page from the Family Violence Treatment and Education Association:
The overall rate of physical assaults by men against their female partners is 11- 12 per 100 couples; the rate is 12 - 13 per 100 couples for women against their male partners.
If there were no overlap between the men battering women and the women battering men, then the overall rate for the general population would be about 23-25% of couples. However, I hope that this won't be a surprise when I tell you that there is overlap. You find couples where the man beats the woman, and never the other way around, and vice versa--but from what I have seen, it is pretty common for both to be present in one couple. I would be surprised if the rate for the general population is higher than 20%.

It still shows that LGBT relationships have much higher rates of domestic violence than the average for the population. I presume that this figure for the general population includes LGBT couples, although since there are so few of them, they probably don't increase the average very much. Remember that homosexual men are about 4-4.5% of the male population, and lesbians are about 1-2% of the female population. I would also suspect that lesbians, in spite of being quite rare compared to male homosexuals, are probably half of the long-term homosexual relationships.


 
Imagine If This Guy Were A Christian...

And his guidelines for writing a paper included:
Subjects to Avoid

Topics on which there is, in my opinion, no other side apart from left-wing delusions and pseudo-science (for example, God's Creation, homosexuality and other perversions, so-called "separation of church and state").
Do you suppose that California State University Long Beach wouldn't fire him, immediately?

So explain why Dr. Clifton Snider gets away with this? He explains that there are certain topics that are not acceptable:
4. Topics on which there is, in my opinion, no other side apart from chauvinistic, religious, or bigoted opinions and pseudo-science (for example, female circumcision, prayer in public schools, same-sex marriage, the so-called faith-based initiative, abortion, hate crime laws, the existence of the Holocaust, and so-called creationism). For example, see Terrence McNally's "Just a Love Story," Los Angeles Times, 13 February 2004: B15. McNally correctly concludes that those who oppose same-sex marriage do so for one reason: homophobia. "Homophobia," as Robert Goss points out, "is the socialized state of fear, threat, aversion, prejudice, and irrational hatred of the feelings of same-sex attraction" (Jesus Acted Up: A Gay and Lesbian Manifesto, New York: HarperSanFrancisco, 1993: 1). In other words, homophobia is to gays and lesbians what racism is to people of color. Neither homophobia nor racism can be tolerated in civilized, rational debate; therefore, I will not accept either as arguments, however disguised, in your papers.
His guidelines for a research paper just take my breath away, because in each and every case, when there is a political nature to a suggested topic, he presents one and only one possible perspective as the basis for a paper:
2. "Recreational" Drugs (legalization of, medicinal use of; you must know the current legal status of these issues at both the state and federal levels). For marijuana, probably the best approach is to narrow your topic to medicinal use. See Eric Bailey's "Key Court Victories Boost Medical Marijuana Movement," Los Angeles Times, 23 December 2003: B1+. Even the usually conservative Press-Telegram is calling for a "carefully regulated system of legalization and high taxation" of drugs (editorial, "Gangs and Prohibitions," 3 October 2004: A20).

3. Energy (nuclear, solar, fossil, synthetic fuels, etc.). A related topic is Dick Cheney's secret conference on energy policy. Why hasn't the administration revealed who participated and should it reveal this information? Also important is the fact that, as Kevin Phillips writes, "four generations of the [Bush] dynasty have chased [oil] profits through cozy ties with Mideast leaders, spinning webs of conflicts of interest" (Los Angeles Times, 11 January 2004: M1+).

...

8. The Economy (tax cuts, the military budget, education, Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, unemployment, etc.). Under President Clinton, the Federal Government had a handle on the national debt. Now the Bush administration is passing that debt on to the post-baby-boom generation. See Ronald Brownstein's column, "Our Children Will Pay the Bill for Bush's Budget," Los Angeles Times, 10 February 2003: A10.

...

12. Capital Punishment (pro or con; one way to limit the topic would be to argue whether or not there should be a moratorium on executions until they can be proved to be fair to all concerned, if that's possible). See the bipartisan web site: The Constitution Project on this issue. See also Henry Weinstein's article, "Death Penalty Study Suggests Errors," in the Los Angeles Times (11 February 2002: A13, and Eric Slater's "Illinois Governor Commutes All Death Row Cases," in the Los Angeles Times (12 January 2003: A1+; in the same edition of the Times, see Henry Weinstein's "Move Will Intensify Debate on Executions": A1+ and Eric Slater's "Unlikely Candidate for Death Penalty Reformer": A28). According to Amnesty International, in 2002 the United States had the third highest rate of executions after China and Iran ("China Tops World List of Executions," Los Angeles Times, 13 April 2003: A33).

...

17. The Environment (insecticides, off-shore drilling, protecting the forests, clean-air laws, protecting pristine land in Alaska from oil drilling). See Elizabeth Shogren's, "States, White House at Odds on Environment," Los Angeles Times, 29 December 2002, A23. And see Kenneth R. Weiss's "Seas Being Stripped of Big Fish, Study Finds," Los Angeles Times, 15 May 2003: A1+. This would be a good research paper topic as well.

...

21. Affirmative Action. Be sure to define the term and be aware of its current status in California. See the cover stories for Newsweek, 27 January 2003, the Los Angeles Times, "State Finds Itself Hemmed In," 24 June 2003 (A1+), by Stuart Silverstein, Peter Hong, and Rebecca Trounson, and "Court Affirms Use of Race in University Admissions," by David G. Savage, in the same issue of the Times.

...

27. Gun control (should a license, including a card with a picture similar to a driver's license, be required of gun owners? should handguns be banned? These are only two narrowed gun control topics; "gun control" itself is far too broad as a topic). See Aparna Kumar's "More Guns in Citizens' Hands Can Worsen Crime, Study Says" (Los Angeles Times, 23 January 2003: A15). Also, for an especially good opinion column (backed by facts), read Jennifer Price's "Gun Lobby's Perfect Aim," Los Angeles Times (9 February 2003: M1+). A third topic is ballistic fingerprinting: see Jonathan Alter's "Pull the Trigger On Fingerprints," Newsweek (28 October 2002: 41).

...

34. Birth Control: Should the so-called "morning-after" contraceptive pills (pills that prevent fertilized eggs from implantation) be more readily available to all, whether they can afford them or not and regardless of age? Of course, in your paper you would need to state your position and support it while acknowledging the opposing position. (You cannot argue that such pills amount to an abortion; I do not accept abortion as a topic. See below.)

...

52. What evidence do we have that Mr. Bush and his cronies lied to the American people and the world in promoting the war with Iraq? Do you agree that America has lost its "moral authority" in the world because of this immoral war? See "Another Casualty of War: American Moral Authority," by Rami G. Khouri, in the Los Angeles Times, 9 October 2003: B17. See also, "Iraq War Questions Gain Momentum," by Janet Hook, Los Angeles Times, 30 January 2004: A1+, and John Barry and Mark Hosenball's "What Went Wrong," the cover story for Newsweek, 9 February 2004: 24-31. Another article from the Los Angeles Times, Bob Drogin and Greg Miller's "CIA Chief Saw No Imminent Threat in Iraq" (6 February 2004: A6+), might be useful. Other articles worth reading are Peter Singer's "Bush's Meandering Moral Compass," Los Angeles Times, 26 March 2004: B13 and Bob Drogin and Greg Miller's "Iraq's Illicit Weapons Gone Since Early '90s, CIA Says," Los Angeles Times, 7 October 2004: A1+.
In a very few cases, Dr. Snider presents politically charged questions in a form that is neutral (often because it is so brief):
23. Hiroshima: Was Dropping the Bomb Immoral?

24. Term Limits for Public Office (do they work?)
But it is just astonishing that so many of his topics are so obviously biased to the left, both in how the question is asked, and how the sources he suggests are biased in that direction. As an example, the gun control topic could have suggested a couple of articles by Dr. John Lott as well--but that would involve admitting that there is more than one side.

Just to add to the fascist tendencies of Dr. Snider, when Mike Adams took Dr. Snider to task for this narrow-mindededness, Dr. Snider insisted that Adams was violating his copyright by reproducing parts of it. You can see the nasty letter from Dr. Snider here, and Mike Adams' response:
Being exposed as an ideological bigot isn’t much fun, is it? It is especially disheartening when you have been bullying helpless college students and finally encounter an opponent that you cannot control. That would be me.
What's really funny is how Dr. Snider has updated his guidelines:
Notice to my students: someone has published illegally in what purports to be an "article" material from my web site, that is, portions of my assignments. The article, among many misrepresentations, implies I require that you write about certain topics.
Gee, Dr. Snider tells his students that certain topics are unacceptable, because if you disagree with Dr. Snider, you are expressing "chauvinistic, religious, or bigoted opinions and pseudo-science...." Dr. Snider certainly has the right to assign topics for a class. The question is: should tax dollars be used to pay for political indoctrination?

UPDATE: I see that one of Dr. Snider's students has filed a complaint:
A Long Beach student has filed a complaint against Snider for using an hour and a half of his English class instructional time to talk about his disapproval of George W. Bush and the war in Iraq.
I can't claim to be surprised, really. My wife and I both had professors who believed that the primary purpose of a university classroom was to engage in political indoctrination, often without even a pretense of relevance to the subject in question. Examples: a "Music of the World" class in which the professor ranted about how whites trashed the environment, unlike the Indians, who lived in harmony with nature. (If you don't recognize that as factually challenged polemic, you have some reading to do.) A "Critical Thinking" class where the professor used most of the lecture time to attack President Bush Sr. for the Gulf War. A "Womens Studies" class where the professor became incensed because my wife actually did what she was supposed to do: critically evaluate a paper about White Privilege and Male Privilege. Thereafter, for the remainder of the semester, when my wife would raise her hand, the professor would say, "No questions? Okay."


Thursday, October 21, 2004
 
Okay, Identify The Political Leanings of This Writer

I won't tell you who wrote it--just listen to the statements, and tell me if this is a leftist, liberal, conservative--and then guess what magazine this appeared in: Wall Street Journal, Weekly Standard, American Spectator, Village Voice, The Nation?
Structurally, the United Nations is utterly incapable of assuring the rule of law and human rights in many of its member countries. Human rights abusers Russia and China, for example, have veto powers in the Security Council. And of the U.N. Human Rights Commission, composed of many unremitting human rights abusers, Sudan itself is a proud member.

My own fantasy of "pie in the sky" is a parallel, independent, international coalition of countries that would be alert to genocide emerging anywhere in the world—and then, unlike the U.N., move in to stop it. But where are those countries?
Okay: he's promoting the idea of a coalition of nations intervening without UN approval in the affairs of other nations. He holds the UN in contempt. Ready to make your guesses?




Nat Hentoff, old-time civil libertarian (a fairly quaint creature in modern leftist terms), writing in the Village Voice. One of the reasons that I respect Hentoff, even though I often disagree with him on particular issues, is that he actually stands for something--human rights--and he does so consistently, not just when it is a chance to pro-UN and anti-American.

Some of the other parts of the article are worth reading, too:
A woman and teenage girl who were raped and abducted by soldiers in western Darfur have claimed that the Sudanese army organized airlifts of sex slaves to serve as the "wives" of government soldiers in Khartoum. . . . "Each of us was raped by between three and six men," said Bokur [Hamis, 21]. "One woman refused to have sex with them, so they split her head into pieces with an axe in front of us." —Benjamin Joffe-Walt, Sunday Telegraph, London, September 19
A previous week's column points out that part of what prevents UN action is Sudan's oil industry, which has bought off many nations--including the ones that John Kerry thinks should have some sort of veto power over U.S. foreign policy:
In a recent study, Reeves focuses on "the many European and Asian companies that are now propping up the Khartoum regime by means of large commercial investments and capital projects," and as a result, becoming accomplices in genocide.

Among the most resistant members of the United Nations Security Council to placing truly punitive sanctions on Sudan's oil industry is China.

"The dominant and most ruthless international player in Sudan's oil sector," Reeves writes, is "China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC). After Goldman Sachs failed in 2000 to secure a $10 billion Initial Public Offering for CNPC, the Wall Street firm created a so-called financial 'cut-out,' which became the new entity 'PetroChina.' . . . Wholly controlled and 90 percent owned by CNPC, it lists on the New York Stock Exchange." (Emphasis added.)

The companies of other nations, in addition to China, that invest in Sudan "accept payment [from Khartoum] in the form of Khartoum's petrodollars—revenues raised from oil development projects located almost exclusively in southern Sudan . . . "

When you read about Khartoum's helicopters bombing villages in Darfur as a prelude to the murderous raids by the Arab Janjaweed, who are often accompanied by official Khartoum troops, you may not have realized that, as Eric Reeves continues:

"Khartoum's extensive military purchases, especially over the last half-dozen years, have been made possible by virtue of realized and anticipated oil revenues. These purchases include many of the helicopter gunships that have been deployed to such deadly effect against civilians in both southern Sudan and Darfur. A measure of the profligacy of Khartoum's military purchases can be seen in the recent completion of a deal with Russia for 10 MiG-29s—one of the most advanced fighter aircraft in the world."

At the United Nations' so-called Security Council, Russia, like China, has been very reluctant to put enough pressure on Khartoum to stop the murdering and raping of black Africans in Darfur. Not surprisingly, Eric Reeves discloses, "Russia's Tatneft is an important participant in Sudan's oil sector (and also lists on the New York Stock Exchange)." (Emphasis added.)
Isn't it amazing that the left has been screeching "No blood for oil" but seems to turn a blind eye to what is much more clearly the corrupt exchange of oil for murder, torture, and rape? I suspect that this is for a very simple reason: the left's primary motivation is the destruction of human rights. For all their efforts to pretend that the Soviet Union was a perversion of communism, the evidence is clear enough, when they refuse to turn any of their rage at George Bush against the Islamic government of Sudan, or nations like Russia and China.


 
The Mackris/O'Reilly Suit

I see from CNN's coverage that O'Reilly's attorneys are demanding that if Mackris has tapes of O'Reilly's disgusting phone conversations (which the length and detail of the claimed quotes in the complaint would suggest), that they produce and play those tapes in open court.

At first glance, this looks like the actions of someone who is confident that the tapes don't support Mackris's claims, or provide some context that might demolish the claim of sexual harrassment. For example: some of the conversations might have involved Mackris as the aggressor--which would make O'Reilly look like a real cad, but destroy the sexual harrassment claim.

However, there is another possibility: if Mackris taped these conversations, and did so unlawfully, then producing those tapes would open her up to criminal prosecution, and I think prevent those tapes from being used in court. But according to this website, New York is one of those states where it is lawful for one party to record a phone conversation without informing the other party. Since it appears that the vast majority of these alleged conversations involved two New Yorkers (O'Reilly and Mackris), I can't see that this strategy would help O'Reilly at all.

Perhaps there's some subtle point here that I am missing, but if O'Reilly did indeed do something wrong, demanding that Mackris play the tapes gains O'Reilly nothing, and destroys O'Reilly's reputation. If O'Reilly did nothing wrong, or at least nothing that qualifies as sexual harrassment, demanding that Mackris play the tapes makes lots of sense for O'Reilly--and no sense for Mackris at all. If there are no tapes--then Mackris's complaint starts to smell like fiction.

UPDATE: Drudge Report, relying upon unnamed sources, is reporting that Mackris is deeply in debt--consistent with the possibility that she made up (or embellished) this story to solve her financial problems.


 
More Reactionary Narrow-Minded Talk By Bill Cosby

He was being a pest in Milwaukee, this time:
"It is not all right for your 15-year-old daughter to have a child," the comedian said Wednesday night. "I'm 67 years old. I'm not talking to you any different from a grandfather who would say, 'I wouldn't do that if I were you.'"

Cosby was warmly received by a crowd of about 2,400 people at North Division High School in Milwaukee's inner city.

He asked parents to talk with their children, spend time with them and encourage them to study hard and prevent teen pregnancy. He said parents shouldn't leave the responsibility of raising their children to television and CDs.

"These are your children," Cosby said. "You're supposed to raise them."

Cosby said he decided to come after speaking with Eugene Kane, columnist for the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, and learning about the city's high rate of high school dropouts, its high teen pregnancy rate and its murder rate.


 
Neck and Neck

Real Clear Politics electoral vote map shows Bush with 227 votes, and Kerry with 206--and 105 votes still battleground. If Bush wins Florida and Pennsylvania, or Florida and Ohio, or Pennsylvania and Ohio and New Hampshire, that puts him over the top. Kerry, on the other hand, has to win Ohio, Pennsylvania, and at least three other states to win.


 
More On Why Blacks Are Slipping Out of the Safe Democratic Column

This article from the Boston Globe, earlier this year, discusses the pivotal role of black clergy--historically part of the liberal coalition--in opposing same-sex marriage in Massachusetts:
The three major associations of Greater Boston's black clergy, exercising their considerable influence within the minority community and asserting moral authority on civil rights matters, have shaken up the debate over same-sex marriage with their insistence that the quest by gays and lesbians for marriage licenses is not a civil rights issue.

The Black Ministerial Alliance, the Boston Ten Point Coalition, and the Cambridge Black Pastors Conference issued a joint statement this weekend opposing gay marriage.

...

"As black preachers, we are progressive in our social consciousness, and in our political ideology as an oppressed people we will often be against the status quo, but our first call is to hear the voice of God in our Scriptures, and where an issue clearly contradicts our understanding of Scripture, we have to apply that understanding," said the Rev. Gregory G. Groover Sr., pastor of Charles Street African Methodist Episcopal Church in Boston.

...

"Martin Luther King [Jr.] is rolling over in his grave at a statement like this," said state Representative Byron Rushing, a Boston Democrat and an active Episcopal layman. "They are not acknowledging the responsibility that any people have who have been able to struggle and gain civil rights, which is that you have to then support others who are seeking civil rights."
No, Mr. Rushing, they are recognizing that the analogy that homosexuals use to being black is bogus.

A handful of leading black clergy in Boston are prominent supporters of gay marriage, but all work in historically white denominations. They include the Rev. William G. Sinkford, president of the Unitarian Universalist Association; the Rev. Peter J. Gomes, the American Baptist minister who is minister of Harvard University's Memorial Church; and Bishop Gayle E. Harris, a suffragan bishop in the Episcopal diocese of Massachusetts.
It would have been nice if the reporter had mentioned that Rev. Gomes might have a conflict of interest on this, being openly gay.

But within historically black churches, where most black Protestants worship, there appears to be a near consensus that marriage should be defined as the union of a man and a woman. Among those who have voiced their opposition are the Rev. Ray A. Hammond, pastor of Bethel African Methodist Episcopal Church in Jamaica Plain, the Rev. Eugene F. Rivers III, pastor of the Azusa Christian Community, and the Rev. Jeffrey L. Brown, pastor of Union Baptist Church in Cambridge.

"The decision was not very difficult, because our faith forces us to recognize something that is biblical and that history has affirmed," said the Rev. Wesley A. Roberts, president of the Black Ministerial Alliance, which represents about 80 churches with 20,000 to 30,000 members.

Bishop Gilbert A. Thompson Sr., who as pastor of New Covenant Christian Church in Mattapan heads the largest Protestant congregation in Massachusetts, said black ministers have many reasons for speaking out against gay marriage.

"We're weighing in on this because we're concerned with the epidemic rate of fatherlessness in America and in our community, and we don't think gay marriage helps that cause," he said.

Thompson said he believes that homosexuality is a choice and that "to say there is such a thing as a gay Christian is saying there's an honest thief," because gay people can choose not to act on their homosexual impulses.

"I've read that [former presidential candidate] Carol Moseley Braun didn't see any difference between same-sex marriage and interracial marriage, but we believe the difference is enormous," Thompson said. "Today, we look back with scorn at those who twisted the law to make marriage serve a racist agenda, and I believe our descendants will look back the same way at us if we yield to the same kind of pressure a radical sexual agenda is placing on us today. Just as it's distorting the equation of marriage if you press race into it, it's also distorting if you subtract gender."
Exactly. What was wrong with laws against interracial marriage was that they were contrary to the Biblical truths upon which this nation was founded.

I am hoping that the Bush campaign will emphasize the yawning gap between Bush and Kerry on not only same-sex marriage (where Kerry has taken both sides, as usual), but also on the question of whether judges may impose same-sex marriage on the states (where Kerry, for once, hasn't waffled). Of course, that would require Bush to really, really want to win. There are days I find myself feeling like Bush Jr. is as bad as Bush Sr.--neither seemed to really want to win--at least, not badly enough to offend the liberals.


 
Oh Dear, Some Nasty Person is Accusing Kerry of Being A Liberal

Yes, well-known right-winger Michael Moore:
Moore said Kerry may not be perfect, but is far superior to former Vice President Al Gore and this year's other Democratic presidential hopefuls. "There's a reason that they're saying Kerry is the No. 1 liberal in the Senate," said Moore. "It's because he is the No. 1 liberal in the Senate."


 
Washington State Really Is Becoming California

A school district in Puyallup, Washington, banned Halloween costumes and celebrations in the schools, and gave three reasons. Two of them make perfect sense, and the third one? Well, this story really catches the insanity well:
The superintendent made the decision for three primary reasons, Hansen said. First, Halloween parties and parades waste valuable classroom time. Second, some families can't afford costumes and the celebrations thus can create embarrassment for children.

Both of those reasons seemed sensible to the parents who spoke to ABC News affiliate KOMO-TV in Seattle. But the district's third reason left some Puyallup parents shaking their heads.

The district said Halloween celebrations and children dressed in Halloween costumes might be offensive to real witches.

"Witches with pointy noses and things like that are not respective symbols of the Wiccan religion and so we want to be respectful of that," Hansen said.

The Wiccan, or Pagan, religion is said to be growing in the United States and there are Wiccan groups in Puyallup.

On the district's list of guidelines related to holidays and celebrations is an item that reads: "Use of derogatory stereotypes is prohibited, such as the traditional image of a witch, which is offensive to members of the Wiccan religion."


 
Do Facts Even Matter Anymore?

I found this news story from about a month ago that didn't seem to get much attention:
Investigations have shown that the former Iraqi dictator grafted and smuggled more than $10 billion from the program that for seven years prior to Saddam's overthrow was meant to bring humanitarian aid to ordinary Iraqis. And the Sept. 11 Commission has shown a tracery of contacts between Saddam and Al Qaeda (search) that continued after billions of Oil-for-Food dollars began pouring into Saddam's coffers and Usama bin Laden (search) declared his infamous war on the U.S.

Now, buried in some of the United Nation's own confidential documents, clues can be seen that underscore the possibility of just such a Saddam-Al Qaeda link — clues leading to a locked door in this Swiss lakeside resort. (To review a series of documents, audits and other stories related to Oil-for-Food, click here.)

...

In a recent interview, U.S. Assistant Treasury Secretary Juan Zarate described MIGA as "a very good example of an investment company that is used as a shell to hide and move money."

As is typical of terrorist financial webs, the details surrounding MIGA quickly become bewildering — part of the point being to camouflage the illicit flow of funds with legitimate business. Part of the problem in finding the truth is that cross-border transactions out of such financial havens as Switzerland are smothered in banking secrecy.

But even with that secrecy — and shortly after the Sept.11, 2001, attacks on the United States — both MIGA and its chief founder and longtime president, Ahmed Idris Nasreddin, landed on the U.N. watchlist of entities and individuals belonging to, or affiliated with Al Qaeda.

Nasreddin is a member of the terror-linked Muslim Brotherhood (search).

Nasreddin's longtime business partner, Egyptian-born Youssef Nada, also of the Muslim Brotherhood, likewise appears on the U.N.'s Al Qaeda watchlist, as do a slew of both Nasreddin's and Nada's enterprises. Former Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill in August 2002 described Nada and Nasreddin as "supporters of terrorism" involved in "an extensive financial network providing support to Al Qaeda and other terrorist-related organizations."

...

Saddam's standard scam was to underprice oil sales and overpay for relief supplies, thus generating fat profits for his business partners. Many of those contractors would kick back part of the take to Saddam's regime — or divert it to whatever uses Saddam might fancy. By various accounts, those uses ranged from building palaces to buying arms to supplying Saddam's sadistic son Uday with equipment for torturing Iraqi athletes.

One of the big questions is whether any of the money skimmed from Oil-for-Food also slopped into terrorist-financing ventures such as MIGA.

It's important to note that in tracking terrorist financing, the simplest starting points are the visible links, the potential connections through which money might most easily have flowed. Proving that funds actually coursed through those conduits is far more difficult.

In the case of Hayel Saeed, MIGA and the HSA Group, there is no public information available about the precise flow of funds, and no proof that Saddam's money made its way to MIGA. But in looking for patterns that beg for further investigation — especially by authorities with access to detailed U.N. records and information on MIGA accounts — some items here stand out.

Most simply, there is the question of why HSA was among those companies favored by Saddam for such a fat slice of business. It is increasingly clear that Saddam did not, on average, choose his contractors either at random, or because they were the most cost-efficient suppliers of relief for the people of Iraq. While some of the deals may have been entirely legitimate, many melded payments for humanitarian goods with illicit kickbacks and payoffs. In such cases, it was a lucrative privilege to be tapped as an Oil-for-Food contractor by Saddam's regime.

...

From leaked copies of secret U.N. Oil-for-Food records, it appears that Pacific Interlink alone accounted for more than half the HSA group's sales of relief supplies to Saddam, with contracts for such goods as soap, ghee and construction materials totaling at least $246 million. Pacific Interlink (search) also belonged to the select set of companies chosen by Saddam and approved by the United Nations as authorized to buy Iraqi oil under Oil-for-Food — though whether Pacific Interlink actually got any of Saddam's fat oil contracts is something the United Nations has so far managed to keep secret. FOX News attempted to reach Pacific Interlink for comment, but to date has received no reply.

And though there is no public proof that Pacific Interlink took part in Saddam's kickback scams, there is an intriguing item in a study of Oil-for-Food pricing methods released last year by the U.S. Defense Contract Management Agency (DCMA).

Just after Saddam fell, the DCMA, together with the U.S. Defense Contract Audit Agency, looked at the terms of 759 sample contracts out of the tens of thousands of deals done by Saddam's regime under Oil-for-Food. In that sample, Pacific Interlink pops up as a purveyor of $20 million worth of palm oil to Saddam, via a contract approved by the United Nations under Oil-for-Food in mid-2001. By DCMA estimates, Saddam overpaid Pacific Interlink on that contract, to the tune of about 15 percent above market price, which would work out to some $3 million in funds diverted from relief on that deal alone.




 
Right Down to the Wire...

This is going to be very, very close. Yes, Bush has a lead in a number of the polls, but it is a lead within the 95% confidence intervals for surveys of this size. Ordinarily, I wouldn't worry too much, because Democrats tend to be less motivated than Republicans to vote--but this is not an ordinary year. The Democrats have engaged in a campaign of lies unprecedented in my memory, of which Fahrenheit 9/11 is the centerpiece, and the "Rock the Vote" lies using a faked draft notice--with Secretary of Defense Rumsfeld's faked signature--is the most outrageous. The Democratic Party has decided that getting the White House matters more than protecting liberal democracy from Islamofascism. The cynicism of this strategy takes my breath away--and I have regarded the Democratic Party with contempt for a very long time.

Perhaps most of the best examples of the "tell them anything to get elected" nonsense was Edwards claim that electing Kerry was equivalent to visiting a faith healer. As Charles Krauthammer (an MD, although apparently paralysis during medical school turned him into a columnist instead) observes:
This is John Edwards on Monday at a rally in Newton, Iowa: "If we do the work that we can do in this country, the work that we will do when John Kerry is president, people like Christopher Reeve are going to walk, get up out of that wheelchair and walk again."

In my 25 years in Washington, I have never seen a more loathsome display of demagoguery. Hope is good. False hope is bad. Deliberately, for personal gain, raising false hope in the catastrophically afflicted is despicable.

Where does one begin to deconstruct this outrage?

First, the inability of the human spinal cord to regenerate is one of the great mysteries of biology. The answer is not remotely around the corner. It could take a generation to unravel. To imply, as Edwards did, that it is imminent if only you elect the right politicians is scandalous.

Second, if the cure for spinal cord injury comes, we have no idea where it will come from. There are many lines of inquiry. Stem cell research is just one of many possibilities, and a very speculative one at that. For 30 years I have heard promises of miracle cures for paralysis (including my own, suffered as a medical student). The last fad, fetal tissue transplants, was thought to be a sure thing. Nothing came of it.

As a doctor by training, I've known better than to believe the hype -- and have tried in my own counseling of people with new spinal cord injuries to place the possibility of cure in abeyance. I advise instead to concentrate on making a life (and a very good life it can be) with the hand one is dealt. The greatest enemies of this advice have been the snake-oil salesmen promising a miracle around the corner. I never expected a candidate for vice president to be one of them.
Is there anything more cynical and loathsome than Edwards' performance? It makes me long for the 1984 campaign of Walter Mondale who was an unashamed liberal, and claimed that the government could do all sorts of wonderful things for those in need--but never claimed that the government was God.


Wednesday, October 20, 2004
 
Very Specialized Thieves

My neighbor came back from deer hunting about 1:00 PM, and parked in his driveway. He was hot and dirty, and went in to take a shower. When he came back a couple hours later, the deer was still in his Jeep--but his rifle, binoculars, and hunting knife were no longer in the front seat.

Well, no surprise there. Even in Idaho, there are thieves. But the story gets more bizarre. I asked him to describe the rifle. Browning A-Bolt Stainless Stalker, .270 Winchester, with a Bausch & Lomb Elite 3000 scope. The binoculars were Nikons. (So my neighbor has good taste.)

He mentions a friend who lives about a mile over was recently burgled, and the thieves took just two rifles, binoculars, and a hunting knife. His friend calls, having just heard about my neighbor's burglary. What were the two rifles stolen from his friend? Browning A-Bolt Stainless Stalkers, with Leupold scopes.

What's going on here? Is this a very selective, very discriminating thief, with exquisite taste? The coincidence is just a little too hard to imagine.


 
The Dishonesty of the Democrats

Rock the Vote is still using a fake draft notice to scare young people into voting for Kerry. When you click on it, it takes you to a discussion of the draft that says this:
The possibility of a new military draft is not a hoax or an Internet rumor. It's a real issue and it demands real answers.

Both President Bush and Senator Kerry have laid out some of their plans to address the strain on our military, but the American people are still lacking answers to real questions.
Real answers have been given. There is no support for a draft by the President, by the military, by Congress. The only people who seem to want a draft are the Democrats who introduced a draft bill.

Deeper down, you find this dishonest piece of doubletalk:
This is not a hoax. Congress voted tonight on the military draft.

The vote was nearly unanimous against the draft. But does that mean that the issue is settled? Not in the least. This is not a partisan issue, clearly. All of Congress voted to oppose the draft. Not because we need a draft today, but because we need a real debate about whether one might be needed soon.

A generation that may indeed be called to service deserves more than this. Any Member of Congress who votes against this bill should be able to explain how they would avoid a draft if a full-scale civil war erupts in Iraq or if we must take military action against Iran, North Korea, or another identified threat.
So "Rock the Vote" says that we should get on the case of the 402 members of Congress who voted against a draft. Why doesn't this say, "Any Member of Congress who votes for this bill should be able to explain why we need a draft"?

The dishonesty of the Democratic Party is just beyond belief.


 
More Voter Registration Fraud

This news report would seem to suggest that George Soros and the other leftist billionaires received a bit less than they hoped for with these voter registration drives:
COLUMBUS - Thousands of cards mailed by county election boards to newly registered voters in Hamilton County and throughout the state are being returned because the people can't be found.

John Williams, director of the Hamilton County Board of Elections, said the situation indicates that there might not be as many new voters as some expect in a state deemed crucial in the presidential election.

Ohio Republican Party Chairman Robert Bennett on Tuesday said it's a result of statewide registration fraud conducted by independent groups that support Democratic candidates.

...

Bennett cited instances in 10 counties where potentially fraudulent voter registration forms were submitted.

He said many were submitted by groups he terms "auxiliaries of the Democratic Party": the Association of Community Organizations for Reform Now (ACORN) and America Coming Together.

The groups paid people to register voters. Some registrations were filled out for dead people, some contained fake addresses, and others named fiction characters such as Dick Tracy and Mary Poppins.

Jess Goode, spokesman for ACT in Ohio, has denied wrongdoing by his group. He said the Republican Party is scared of the number of new Democratic voters headed to the polls in two weeks.

An estimated 7.9 million people have registered in Ohio, up from 7.1 million at the beginning of the year.

Williams is currently investigating fraud by someone working for ACORN who he said submitted voter registrations for about 35 people who don't exist.

Newly registered voters in Hamilton County are mailed a card telling them where to vote and what political districts they live in. But thousands of those cards were returned because the people, or the addresses listed on voter registration forms, couldn't be found.

"There is quite a number," Williams said, noting that not every returned card is a suspected case of fraud. "People do actually move.''
I'm glad that many of these Democratic operatives are too stupid to insert real addresses, but I worry about the ones who are smart. If you registered Bob Jones, Max Jones, John Jones, and Larry Jones to vote at the same address, the post office would certainly deliver registration cards for all of them. How would they know how many Jones' lived at that address? Bob Jones goes and votes in person--and Max, John, and Larry all vote absentee ballot. How would you know that there is only Bob Jones living there? You wouldn't.

Voter fraud is a rather fundamental part of how the Democratic Party operates, at least in the places where I have lived. When I ran for Santa Monica City Council in 1981, there were some amazing things that I found while talking to people and walking precincts. At the time, the registrar was removing voters from the rolls if they had not voted in the 1978 or 1980 general elections--yet when I talked to apartment managers, they told me that some of the people that I was trying to find had been dead for four years. I was told that there were fourteen people registered to vote in the two bedroom house across the street from Tom Hayden and Jane Fonda's house in Ocean Park. Another source, a mailman, told me