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Clayton Cramer's BLOG

Clayton's commentary on news and events of the day. Broadly speaking, I'm a conservative with libertarian sympathies (getting more conservative as my children get older).



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Friday, February 10, 2006
 
The Lawsuit Claiming Christianity Is A Con Job...

You recall a few weeks ago that I mentioned an Italian atheist who was suing the Catholic Church, claiming that Jesus Christ was a lie, and using a law intended for suing conmen. (This was the posting in which an off-hand remark of mine about the ACLU caused Professor Volokh to start frothing at the mouth.) The judge hearing the case not only threw it out of court, but suggested further legal action:
But instead of granting Cascioli his request to bring the case to court, the judge recommended magistrates investigate him for slandering priest Enrico Righi, Righi's lawyer, Bruno Severo said.

The 76-year-old priest said he was delighted by the news.

"Thank God it's over," Righi told Reuters. "I'm glad it has ended like this, because imagine if it had gone on and on."

Cascioli, author of a book called "The Fable of Christ," said the court had not yet informed him of the ruling. But he was not surprised, and said he would appeal to Italy's highest court, and then to The Hague.

Asked about the possibility he would be tried for slander, Cascioli chuckled, saying that to prove he lied, prosecutors would have to prove that Jesus existed.

"They don't have any proof," he said.
Cascioli seems not to be aware that it is easier to prove Jesus's existence as an historic figure than it is to prove that he was not an historic figure. This is true for just about any historic figure--proof of existence is far easier than than proof of non-existence. Even one contemporary or near-contemporary reference is evidence for; evidence against would have to be a contemporary or near-contemporary reference that states, "Jesus did not exist."


 
Clueless Fanatics

I'm sorry, but if you want to win a political battle, you take the loaf of bread one slice at a time, until you get the whole loaf--or at least until you get to make a triple decker sandwich:
The South Dakota House has passed a bill that would nearly ban all abortions in the state, ushering the issue to the state Senate.

Supporters are pushing the measure in hopes of drawing a legal challenge that will cause the US Supreme Court to reverse its 1973 decision legalizing abortion.

...

Amendments aimed at carving out exemptions for rape, incest and the health of women were rejected.
I understand that opponents of abortion regard it as a great evil, and I certainly agree that it needs to be reined in very substantially. But a law like this is far more likely to produce a resounding victory for pro-choice advocates in the courts than a less aggressive strategy.

If the goal is to make yourself feel good, or to stir up your base, then an extreme law like this probably makes sense. If the goal is to substantially reduce the number of abortions (which should be the primary objective of every pro-life advocate--and a goal of even reasonable pro-choice advocates), you need a law that is going to survive court challenge.

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The Mohammed Bombhead Cartoon T-Shirt

This is really tacky:
(PRWEB) February 8, 2006 -- To see the latest creation from conservative t-shirt maker MetroSpy some would think the Muslim world had every right to be upset. MetroSpy's new t-shirts depict an unflattering caricature of the prophet Mohammed with a bomb on his head.

The controversial cartoon, which first ran in European newspapers, has outraged Muslims around the world because Islamic tradition forbids a graphic depiction of the Prophet Mohammed.

Many in the U.S however, are angered by the violence being displayed by extreme Islamic protesters -- torching buildings, desecrating flags and in some cases even killing people. Annoyed by the violent images broadcast from the Middle East, MetroSpy decided to sell t shirts with the controversial caricature emblazoned across the front.

“We can't let the terrorists win. We can not encourage this uncivilized behavior by caving in to their wishes,” said Nate Thomas, product manager for MetroSpy.
Their website, however, is reporting that the servers are too busy to take orders right now, and suggests that you try back again later!

My only question is: does it come in Kevlar, and is it fireproof?


 
Mean, Nasty, And Right On The Money!

Ann Coulter once again demonstrates that she has to use a computer to write her articles--otherwise, the paper would catch fire from the acid. She gives a little background on the cartoons that have set the Islamic world on fire:
One showed Muhammad turning away suicide bombers from the gates of heaven, saying "Stop, stop — we ran out of virgins!" — which I believe was a commentary on Muslims' predilection for violence. Another was a cartoon of Muhammad with horns, which I believe was a commentary on Muslims' predilection for violence. The third showed Muhammad with a turban in the shape of a bomb, which I believe was an expression of post-industrial ennui in a secular — oops, no, wait: It was more of a commentary on Muslims' predilection for violence.

In order to express their displeasure with the idea that Muslims are violent, thousands of Muslims around the world engaged in rioting, arson, mob savagery, flag-burning, murder and mayhem, among other peaceful acts of nonviolence.

Muslims are the only people who make feminists seem laid-back.

The little darlings brandish placards with typical Religion of Peace slogans, such as: "Behead Those Who Insult Islam," "Europe, you will pay, extermination is on the way" and "Butcher those who mock Islam." They warn Europe of their own impending 9/11 with signs that say: "Europe: Your 9/11 will come" — which is ironic, because they almost had me convinced the Jews were behind the 9/11 attack.
Here is where she sticks the blade it, and makes it spin 360 degrees in all three axes!
The rioting Muslims claim they are upset because Islam prohibits any depictions of Muhammad — though the text is ambiguous on beheadings, suicide bombings and flying planes into skyscrapers.

The belief that Islam forbids portrayals of Muhammad is recently acquired. Back when Muslims created things, rather than blowing them up, they made paintings, frescoes, miniatures and prints of Muhammad.
Go and read it all. She's often unfairly cruel, and it is true that most Muslims aren't running around blowing things up, or committing mass murder. But I'll tell you, if there was a movement equivalent to al-Qaeda that claimed to be Christian, it would not only earn the condemnation of every organized Christian church, but we would be all working hard to turn them over to the police, just to make them stop contaminating our religion with their absurd claims. Islam's condemnation of al-Qaeda and related movements has been late, weak, and far stronger on words than acts.


 
An Interesting Controversy

I think it is a good thing when people of different faiths manage to find common ground and work together--and there are often areas where this is possible. But remember that most religions--and certainly the ones to which the vast majority of Americans belong--have certain core values that are non-negotiable. There may be a lot of fine details that are subject to internal dispute, or that aren't critical to the religion, but the cores aren't open for debate, and trying to paper over those differences in the name of ecumenicalism is stupid.

For Jews (at least those for whom it is a religion, not a culture), it is the Shema:
Hear O Israel, the Lord is our God, the Lord is One.
For Christians, it is the Nicene Creed:
We believe in one God the Father Almighty, Maker of heaven and earth, and of all things visible and invisible.

And in one Lord Jesus Christ, the only-begotten Son of God, begotten of the Father before all worlds, God of God, Light of Light, Very God of Very God, begotten, not made, being of one substance with the Father by whom all things were made; who for us men, and for our salvation, came down from heaven, and was incarnate by the Holy Spirit of the Virgin Mary, and was made man, and was crucified also for us under Pontius Pilate. He suffered and was buried, and the third day he rose again according to the Scriptures, and ascended into heaven, and sitteth on the right hand of the Father. And he shall come again with glory to judge both the quick and the dead, whose kingdom shall have no end.

And we believe in the Holy Spirit, the Lord and Giver of Life, who proceedeth from the Father and the Son, who with the Father and the Son together is worshipped and glorified, who spoke by the prophets. And we believe one holy catholic and apostolic Church. We acknowledge one baptism for the remission of sins. And we look for the resurrection of the dead, and the life of the world to come. Amen.
For Muslims, it is Mohammed's statement in the Ka'bah:
"There is no god but Allah and Mohammed is His Prophet."
Feel free to argue that one of these views is right, and the others wrong, but if you truly believe one of these, you are going to regard the others as wrong, with one rather interesting exception. This isn't one of those cafeteria things; you aren't a "Christian Muslim" or a "Jewish Muslim" or a "Jewish Hindu." (You can be a Jewish Christian, and several churches that I have attended had Jewish Christians in them--including the pastor, at one church.)

Religious eclectism is very fashionable in some circles. Where we lived in Sonoma County, we knew people who did see religion as a cafeteria. We knew one couple where he was a Buddhist; she had grown up Jewish, and had assembled her own New Age religion with components of Judaism, liberal Protestantism, healing crystals, and lots of other odds and ends that she had gathered along the way. There are people out there who recognize a need for a religion that comforts them--but they aren't too sure that they want a religion that tells them what to do. Religion Light: Comfort, without obligations or duties.

Anyway, what prompted this discussion is an article in today's Idaho Statesman about a tempest in a teapot:
Some Idaho religious leaders say they will boycott the upcoming Idaho State Prayer Breakfast because the guest speaker is a former Muslim who now leads a ministry aimed at converting Muslims to Christianity.

The Rev. Hormoz Shariat, an Iranian native now living in California, is scheduled to speak at the March 4 event at the Boise Centre on The Grove. A computer scientist by training, he was born in Tehran and was introduced to Christianity while working on his doctorate at the University of Southern California. Shariat founded the Sunnyvale, Calif.-based Iranian Christian Church in 1987.

His other mission, International Antioch Ministries, which attempts to convert Muslims by broadcasting evangelical television programs into Iran, has been praised on Pat Robertson’s The 700 Club, but it is drawing criticism now in Idaho.

“It sends a message that there’s something wrong with the Muslim religion,” said Ed Keener, co-chairman of the Interfaith Alliance of Idaho.

Dave Baumann, who heads the group that invited Shariat to speak in Boise next month, said breakfast organizers — a committee entirely comprised of Christians — have no intention of uninviting Shariat.

The event, now in its 45th year, is designed to appeal mainly to Christians, and registrations for this year’s breakfast are double those of previous years, said Baumann, who ran for state Senate in 2004.
Now, I can see why Muslims would not be comfortable with this speaker. He is a reminder that Islam does not satisfy the needs of every Muslim. So what?

This isn't a cafeteria line. If you believe that Islam is right, and Christianity and Judaism are corruptions of God's truth (which is Islam's position on these two "religions of the Book"), then I can see why wouldn't be pleased about this guy speaking. If you believe that Christianity is correct, I can see why you would be pleased to see him there.

An Interfaith Alliance of Idaho makes as much sense as something called the "Atheist Agnostic Theist Alliance of Idaho," or the "Democratic Socialist Marxist Maoist Libertarian Alliance of Idaho." If you can make some common ground with groups that otherwise disagree with you, it it is possible that you might be able to work together on something that all agree upon--but to expect a single-issue action to form a permanent alliance is absurd. Trying to hold it together is even more absurd.


 
Idaho Marriage Amendment (State Senate Committee Hearings)

There were more hearings this morning in a State Senate committee considering HJR2, which puts a definition of marriage onto the ballot for addition to the state constitution. It was a very interesting experience.

There were people that fit stereotypes just perfectly--and I don't just mean the gay people! There were people that didn't fit stereotypes at all, of course. I don't know too many people that hate homosexuals, but I suspect that standing in line to sign up to testify with many of the homosexuals would have to be a good thing for the haters. The deranged activists who defend NAMBLA, and think dressing all in leather and feather boas is so fabulous, weren't there--perhaps that bunch was too hung over from partying the night before.

I didn't catch her name, but there was one speaker in favor of HJR2 who described herself as a stay at home mom (and from the state of her waistline, very close to having yet another child), and a licensed attorney, who gave a nice presentation about how courts in other states have abused the equal protection clauses of the federal and state constitutions. It was a presentation that fit into three minutes, without being oversimplified.

One rather interesting comment was from an older gay man who admitted that it still makes him uncomfortable to see a wedding cake with two groom figures on it. He still opposed HJR2 (no surprise), but he at least was prepared to see why a lot of people are not comfortable with same-sex marriage, rather than just call us knuckle-dragging homophobes.

Rep. Nicole LeFavour, D-Boise, the state's only openly gay legislator, addressed the State Senate committee as well. She made one remark that really captures what happens when national organizations decide to stick their nose into state politics. She pointed out that Idaho gays would not have tried to get same-sex marriage. She knows full well that this would never get past the legislature, and indicated that if Idaho gays had their way, they would rather put the energy into antidiscrimination laws instead.

I can understand Rep. LeFavour's upset. Unfortunately, there's no assurance that the ACLU won't file suit here in Idaho to attempt to impose same-sex marriage on this state. HJR2 is a prophylactic measure--something that ordinarily wouldn't be needed, except for the ACLU's history. Yes, perhaps it won't be needed--but when there are so many dangerous judicial viruses on the loose, why engage in unsafe law-making?

One thing that just irritated the heck out of me were people who were ostensibly there to tell us how they felt about HJR2--but as near as I can tell, were there to promote their own little organization. Someone from the Humanists of Idaho was there, and while he did speak to HJR2, I found myself thinking, "This is mostly a speech designed to attract people to this organization."

Amy Herzfeld, Executive Director of the Idaho Human Rights Education Center, gave the same little speech that she gave to a House committee last week--and about 85% of it was a puff piece for what her organization did. Only at the very end did she get around to the topic at hand.

Ms. Herzfeld's three minutes took me from having a neutral to slightly positive impression of her organization, to a fairly negative one--and that was before she expressed an opinion about HJR2. The Idaho Human Rights Education Center has the Idaho Anne Frank Human Rights Memorial, which is located near Boise State. I must confess that I scratch my head whenever I pass by it. If this memorial were in the Netherlands, or at a concentration camp in Germany, or in Israel, the location would make perfect sense. But in Boise? This makes as much sense as putting a memorial to the Challenger crew in the middle of the Amazon rainforest.

I had always assumed that the motivation was to counteract the bad press that Idaho received from the small number of ex-Californian neo-Nazis up at Hayden Lake some years ago. You would be hard pressed to find anyone in Idaho whose reactions to the Nazis wouldn't be, "Just a moment, while I reload." After listening to Amy Herzfeld's presentation, I am inclined to think that this is more a device for leftists to assert their moral superiority over everyone else.

There's a quote from Anne Frank that is on the side of the memorial to the effect that in spite of everything, she still believes that people are good. It is both touching and painful for me to read that--the innocence and naivete of a little girl. If there is anything that the Holocaust, the Gulag Archipelago, the Killing Fields, and dozens of other genocides has taught us, it is that there is no intrinsic good in people. It takes very little to return human beings to the most savage of states, and fantasies about human nature (as typifies most leftist attempts to restructure our institutions) usually reduce humans to their worst instincts.

UPDATE: The committee voted 5-4 to send it to the State Senate floor.


 
The End of Freedom of the Press

Michelle Malkin has a long list of examples of governmental action to make the temper tantrum set happy--banning possession of the offensive cartoons, arrests of editors, shutting down of newspapers. Many of these are in Muslim countries, so I can't claim to be surprised. But even the European Union is considering a "media code" to prevent further problems like this:
LONDON: The European Union may try to draw up a media code of conduct to avoid a repeat of the furore caused by the publication across Europe of cartoons of the Prophet Mohammad, an EU commissioner said today.

In an interview with Britain's Daily Telegraph, EU Justice and Security Commissioner Franco Frattini said the charter would encourage the media to show ''prudence'' when covering religion.

''The press will give the Muslim world the message: We are aware of the consequences of exercising the right of free expression,'' he told the newspaper. ''We can and we are ready to self-regulate that right.'' The cartoons, which first appeared in a Danish newspaper last September before being reprinted across Europe, sparked a wave of protests around the world.
Let's see, some of the British tabloids have their "Page 3 girls," and most European nations have sizeable pornography industries (as does the U.S., of course). These materials are offensive to Christians--and yet there is no way that the EU would consider a "media code" to make us happy. Why is that? I guess we aren't taking enough hostages, burning enough embassies, or threatening to behead anyone.

It is apparent that Euroliberalism doesn't really believe in freedom of the press, except as a method of promoting its values. Giving in to what is effectively extortion only encourages more of the same.


 
Treasury Yield Curve Inversion

It turns out that part of what caused the Treasury yield curve inversion--two year notes having a higher yield than thirty year bonds--is that the Treasury has started selling thirty year bonds again, after a hiatus of several years--and demand was so strong that it bid up prices--which knocks down effective yields:
The yield on the benchmark 30-year bond fell almost 3 basis points, or 0.03 percentage point, to 4.48 percent at 11:30 a.m. in New York, according to Cantor Fitzgerald. The price of the 4 1/2 percent bond due in February 2036 rose almost 1/2, or $5 per $1,000 face amount, to 100 5/16.

Yesterday's auction of $14 billion of the securities drew a lower-than-expected yield, a sign demand was stronger than traders expected. The bonds were sold at a yield of 4.53 percent, the lowest on record for a 30-year security and below the 4.579 percent pre-auction average forecast of seven bond-trading firms surveyed by Bloomberg.

Pension funds need about $150 billion of debt due in 10 years or longer to fund future payments to retirees, an October study by Citigroup Inc. showed. The U.K., France and Poland last year sold 50-year bonds to meet pension fund demand.
The article goes on to explain that there are several possible explanations for the yield curve inversion.

The obvious one is that there is an expectation of a coming recession, which will drop interest rates. Buying long bonds makes sense, both because the bonds will increase in value (a capital value play) and because if you need a steady income for the next 30 years, you won't be able to buy bonds with this high of a return (a long-term payments play).

Another possibility is that federal deficits are coming down (which they are), and therefore these opportunities won't be available indefinitely. I think this is probably true, but I don't expect those deficits to evaporate overnight.

The third possibility is that a lot of pension funds need to have something reliable from which to make payments to pensioners, and while there is the possibility that interest rates will rise again in the next few months, these pension funds can't wait--they need to get the income stream flowing shortly to cover their anticipated payments.

I've noticed that some of the government agency bonds (Fannie Mae, for example), have yields above 6%--and a few are above 6.5%. Now, these are generally callable bonds, so even though they have a maturity of 15 or 20 years, there is a strong possibility that these bonds will be called as the mortgages are paid off that these bonds are covering.

Be careful when buying callable bonds to make sure that the Yield to Worst Call is something that you can handle. A number of these agency bonds right now are selling below par value, and the Yield to Worst turns out to be the same as Yield To Maturity--but you can still find yourself with a pile of money five years from now, and nowhere very attractive to reinvest it.


 
Glad To See A Frivolous Lawsuit Punished

I'm not happy that I have to pay part of the costs, however:
LOS ANGELES – The U.S. Equal Opportunity Employment Commission must pay more than $1 million to a Pasadena law firm that it sued unsuccessfully last year for sexual harassment and pregnancy discrimination, a federal judge has ruled.

U.S. District Judge Dickran Tevrizian, in a ruling released Monday, found that the EEOC filed a "frivolous" lawsuit against Robert L. Reeves & Associates, which practices immigration law.

Reeves maintained that the EEOC should have known that the harassment and discrimination allegations were part of a scheme to destroy his firm by two of his former law associates, according to a statement from the law firm Ballard, Rosenberg, Golper & Savitt, which represented Reeves.

A Los Angeles Superior Court judge in 2001 ordered the associates to pay Reeves $200,000 for interfering with his business and misappropriating trade secrets, among other things, the firm said.
Yeah, we, the taxpayers, need to demand accountability from our workers, but it would be nice to see the private sector get stuck with the bill for frivolous lawsuits occasionally.

Thanks to Overlawyered for the link.


 
Starving Yourself to Death For the Sanctity of Human Life

I understand that opponents of abortion believe very strongly that abortion is murder, and it should be opposed--but this shows a distinct lack of respect for human life:
A Canyon County anti-abortion activist and father of 16 says he's more than a month into a hunger strike that will end either with his death or the state adopting a law saying that human life begins with conception.

Walter Bayes, who has run for governor and the Legislature on an anti-abortion platform, claims to have begun his fast Jan. 9 — the first day of the legislative session. Today would be Day 33.

"My blood pressure has gotten down to 90 over 50," he said. "I'm cold all the time, and it's affected my vision. When I stand up, I get dizzy and everything turns black. Sometimes I fall."

With no abortion legislation proposed so far in the current legislative session, the white-bearded 67-year-old may literally be risking his life for his beliefs.
There are more effective (but less dramatic) ways to show opposition to the taking of human life.

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Thursday, February 09, 2006
 
Fair Housing Laws

I've long been of mixed feelings on this subject. What consenting adults do in private should be none of the government's business--and it doesn't matter if that is sodomy, employment, or renting a place.

At the same time, I have a bit of sympathy for those who argued (and still argue for) laws prohibiting housing discrimination. I used to go to church with someone who couldn't even get a hotel room for the night in Sonoma County because he was black. (This was obviously a long time ago.)

When my wife and I first moved to Sonoma County in 1982, we went looking for an apartment, and we ran into an apartment manager that I would not have believed could exist in 1982--not because she was a racist, not because she was discriminating in who she rented to, but because she was so blatant about it. This woman didn't know us; for all she knew, we could have been a test couple sent over by the NAACP. At one point, a few minutes into looking at the apartment, she said, "We don't rent to niggers, slopes, or Mexicans." (If you aren't old enough to recognize the term "slope" to refer to Asians--lucky you!) My wife and I were so startled that we said nothing at all--at first I thought it was very poor attempt at humor, and then I realized that she was dead serious. Anyway, we didn't rent from her.

Now, there's a strong theoretical argument that discrimination that is irrational in nature will bear significant economic costs to the discriminator. If you immediately discard 11% of your potential market, you have reduced the effective demand for your good or service, and this will reduce the price that you can charge for it. Similarly, someone who is willing to do business with all legitimate customers has increased their effective demand relative to the discriminator, and will enjoy higher sales and profits as a result. In this theoretical model, an economic actor engaged in irrational discrimination will eventually suffer the consequences of this irrational behavior, losing market share.

Okay, so why didn't this work in the real world with respect to discrimination against blacks? One reason is that there were all sorts of governmental actions taken to reduce the costs of irrational discrimination. For example, state governments often required private firms to discriminate--thus preventing any company from gaining market advantage by treating all customers on an equal basis. Plessy v. Ferguson (1896) is one such example, but there are a lot of others. Southern states in particular imposed separate waiting room requirements on bus companies, for example.

Sometimes, governments took steps that while not intentionally racist, had the same net effect. Thomas Sowell makes the claim that into the 1930s, the Federal Housing Agency (I think the predecessor to FHA) required developers, as a condition of federal loan guarantees, to write racially restrictive deed restrictions.

Now, I doubt that the federal government's goal was to create racial segregation across the land. More likely, they were trying to protect property values (the original motivation for racially restrictive housing developments early in the twentieth century), and in a society where racism was widespread, keeping a neighborhood white would preserve property values, wouldn't it? Unfortunately, individual stupidities, when multiplied by the power of the government, become much larger stupidities.

That woman in Sonoma County who wouldn't rent to "niggers, slopes, and Mexicans"? By her own admission, the vast majority of her tenants were elderly woman whose rent was largely paid by the Department of Housing and Urban Development's section 8 rent subsidy program. HUD's section 8 program was not implemented with this in mind. I am sure that if HUD had realized where their money was going, they would have taken steps to deal with this--but while the night has a thousand eyes, the federal government does not.

I am sympathetic to fair housing laws, largely because there's a long history of government encouraging discrimination. But like my sympathy for affirmative action (at least for blacks) based on generations of government (at all levels) actively encouraging discrimination, there's a time limit on this. We now have two generations of black people that have grown up in a world where governments were not allowed to discriminate, and for the last generation, governments at all levels have worked aggressively to end discrimination. There comes a certain moment when you have to ask, "When is this enough?"

What has me irritated today is this lawsuit filed by the Chicago Lawyers' Committee for Civil Rights Under Law against Craigslist, one of the online classified ad services. (Thanks to Overlawyered.com for the pointer.) Their complaint is that Craigslist accepts discriminatory ads. Some of the ads that they point to (a very small number, by the way), might well qualify as violating the law--and remember that you can put up an ad on Craigslist without it necessarily being reviewed by anyone.

But many of the examples involve roommates seeking compatible people. I can see why some women really don't want to share a place with a guy--sexual tension, and perhaps a little less comfort using the common areas in sleepwear. I can see why if you are a devout Christian, you wouldn't particularly want to share a place with a party animal who is constantly bringing over people for drug abuse, alcohol, and orgies.

And some of the ads that have them upset--running on for more than a page, simply mention the proximity of various amenities--like a church, or a temple. Look, if there's a church across the street, why is that a problem?

Plaintiffs' lawyers should be forced to pay costs of the defendants on frivolous suits. There might well be a couple of these ads that are legitimately questionable--but proximity to a church or a temple is a problem? Come on.


 
The Employment Crisis

I mentioned recently how sad it was that a Scrappleface satire about Howard Dean was not immediately obviously satire.

I read a news report like this, and do I sense a certain amount of, "Oh, this may be bad news" in what should otherwise be good news?
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. jobless claims rose less than expected last week in the latest sign of tightening labor markets, which may prompt the Federal Reserve to hoist interest rates to 5.0 percent before pausing.
There's no question that rising inflation caused by tight job markets would not be good, and rising interest rates to prevent that inflation would be a bad thing, also. But when the big problem is, "Darn, there aren't enough unemployed people out there," that's a pretty good sign.


 
Interesting & Widespread Error: Maryland's 1664 Law About Interracial Marriage

Everywhere I search on the web, I find articles, sometimes by historians, asserting that Maryland banned interracial marriage in 1664. Yesterday I posted the text of the 1664 law from Archives of Maryland, 1:533-4--and you may have noticed that while it severely punished white woman marrying slaves (but not free blacks), it did not prohibit those marriages or refuse to recognize them. (And before you ask, there were free blacks in Maryland, Mathias de Sousa being one who was actually elected to the legislature in the 17th century, before free blacks lost the vote.)

Nor did the 1692 statute at Archives of Maryland, 13:546-9, which simply repeated in longer and more complex form the punishment for white women marrying slaves. This statute also clarified that slaves and their children were slaves for life. The statute also claimed that white women were being encouraged to marry slaves or have children out of wedlock with them, by masters. I'm scratching my head trying to understand this, unless the goal of the masters was to keep the slaves happy. Because the supply of slaves in Africa was heavily prisoners of war, and the demand in the New World was primarily for backbreaking physical labor, male slaves outnumbered female slaves about 2:1 among imports, creating serious sexual imbalances.

The earliest Maryland statute that I can find that clearly prohibits interracial marriage, is also the first one that applies not just to slaves, but to free blacks, and applies to both white men/black women and white women/black men, and that is the 1717 statute in Archives of Maryland, 33:112.

If anyone is aware of an earlier Maryland statute prohibiting interracial marriage (and not just a ban on free or white persons marrying slaves), please let me know.

UPDATE: It occurs to me that the problem may be that the 1664 statute refers both to "Negroes & other Slaves" in some places, but with respect to the punishment for white women, it is specific to slaves:
to the disgrace of our Nation doe intermarry with Negro Slaues by which alsoe diuers suites may arise touching the Issue of such woemen and a great damage doth befall the Masters of such Negros for preuention whereof for deterring such freeborne women from such shamefull Matches[.]
The 1692 statute also uses the phrase "intermarry with any negro or other Slave" which would seem to refer specifically to slaves, either black, Indian, or (not likely, but possibly) white Muslim.


Wednesday, February 08, 2006
 
Polygamy: The Television Series

Just in case you were wondering whether the ACLU's expressed willingness to defend polygamy in court was just an abstract concept, or part of the larger campaign to destroy traditional values: HBO has a new series: Big Love:
He has three wives who willingly share him between their three adjoining houses, but Bill Henrickson is about to find out just how challenging life as a modern-day polygamist can be. Don't miss the bold new series that Time magazine says "may prove to be... the next cool thing on TV."
It is just a coincidence, of course. Somehow, I rather doubt that this polygamous relationship will be portrayed like the Colorado City, Arizona crowd--and of course, they couldn't show an Islamic polygamous situation. I doubt that either would create the right image of polygamy as cool and sophisticated.

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Idaho Is Rather Harsh On Punishment

Here's an example of someone whose plea bargain is a minimum of 25 years in prison before he can apply for parole--and this was much better than going to trial, where he might have been seriously punished:
Harlan Hale, involved in a jail escape and two shootouts with police last year, has pleaded guilty to multiple charges including attempted murder of a police officer.

Under the plea agreement, Hale will serve 25 years to life in prison. He won't be able to apply for parole until he's served at least 25 years.

Hale was due to stand trial later this month.


Hale pleaded guilty on Tuesday to attempted murder of a law officer, one count of assault and battery on a law officer, escape from jail and robbery.

Seven other charges were dropped as part of the agreement.

Hale lawyer Amil Myshin said Hale wanted to avoid the possibility of a trial that would send him to prison for life without possibility of parole. He wanted to maintain hope of one day leaving prison, Myshin said.


 
Fat In Diet: Don't Worry So Much

This is startling news--and somewhat comforting, for those of us who find a low-fat diet almost unbearable:
The largest study ever to ask whether a low-fat diet reduces the risk of getting cancer or heart disease has found that the diet has no effect.

The $415 million federal study involved nearly 49,000 women ages 50 to 79 who were followed for eight years. In the end, those assigned to a low-fat diet had the same rates of breast cancer, colon cancer, heart attacks and strokes as those who ate whatever they pleased, researchers are reporting today.

"These studies are revolutionary," said Dr. Jules Hirsch, physician in chief emeritus at Rockefeller University in New York City, who has spent a lifetime studying the effects of diets on weight and health. "They should put a stop to this era of thinking that we have all the information we need to change the whole national diet and make everybody healthy."

The study, published in today's issue of The Journal of the American Medical Association, was not just an ordinary study, said Dr. Michael Thun, who directs epidemiological research for the American Cancer Society. It was so large and so expensive, Dr. Thun said, that it was "the Rolls-Royce of studies." As such, he added, it is likely to be the final word.

"We usually have only one shot at a very large-scale trial on a particular issue," he said.

The results, the study investigators agreed, do not justify recommending low-fat diets to the public to reduce their heart disease and cancer risk. Given the lack of benefit found in the study, many medical researchers said that the best dietary advice, for now, was to follow federal guidelines for healthy eating, with less saturated and trans fats, more grains, and more fruits and vegetables.


 
Environmentalists For Nuclear Power

No, no, it's not a variant on the most clever bumper sticker of the 1970s: "Mutants for Nuclear Power," with the yellow smiley face sporting only one eye.

Glenn Reynolds' column at Tech Central Station mentions that at least two prominent environmentalists ("former antinuke protester G. Pascal Zachary" and James Lovelock ) are now arguing for nuclear power--at least as part of a move away from fossil fuels. I'm surprised that he didn't mention Greenpeace co-founder Patrick Moore:
Moore said he broke with Greenpeace in the 1980s over the rise of what he called "environmental extremism," or stands by environmental groups against issues such as genetic crop research, genetically modified foods and nuclear energy that aren't supported by science or logic.

...

In direct opposition to common environmentalist positions, Moore contended that global warming and the melting of glaciers is positive because it creates more arable land and the use of forest products drives up demand for wood and spurs the planting of more trees. He added that any realistic plan to reduce reliance on fossil fuels and the emission of so-called greenhouse gases should include increased use of nuclear energy.

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Looks Like Another Lawsuit Opportunity for the ACLU

How dare a local government impose its narrow-minded morality on its employees!
Sheriff's deputies who get caught cheating on their spouses or sleeping with another person's spouse in Pinellas County, Fla., will be suspended from work for the behavior, according to a Local 6 News report.

Pinellas County sheriff's Chief Deputy Dennis Fowler said he has seen so many cases of deputy-involved cases of adultery leading to 911 calls that he has decided to suspend deputies over the action.

Fowler said the suspension can be given to any deputy, regardless of whether they are married or single.

"It goes beyond just your individual relationship with someone else. It affects other people in the workplace, people's ability to do their job, and I think that is relevant," Fowler said.

Authorities said it only makes sense for law enforcement managers to send a message to their workers, that adulterous behavior is trouble.


 
The ACLU & A Constitutional Right to Polygamy

I've mentioned that the ACLU's national director intends for the organization to sue states to overturn bans on polygamy. I didn't realize that local chapters also seem keen on the idea:
Dani Eyer, executive director of the ACLU of Utah, which is not a party to the case, said the state will "have to step up to prove that a polygamous relationship is detrimental to society."

"There's no denying that thousands and thousands are doing that here and will maintain that it's healthy," she said. "The model of the nuclear family as we know it in the immediate past is unique, and may not be necessarily be the best model. Maybe it's time to have this discussion."
If the ACLU wants the government to have to prove that each and every law that it passes is necessary, well that's fine with me. The vast majority of laws that liberals love will go away as well. But something tells me that the ACLU's enthusiasm for this very high standard of necessity will evaporate rather rapidly once they are required to prove that:

1. Laws banning discrimination are necessary. Perhaps there's some other, less intrusive method by which the government can achieve the same desired ends?

2. Laws regulating gun ownership are necessary. Keep in mind that proof of efficacy for laws that most Americans agree upon--bans on convicted felons possessing guns--might be rather difficult.

3. While we are at it--how can the ACLU prove that laws penalizing "hate crimes" are necessary or effective?

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Is This An Equal Protection Violation?

If disapproval of homosexuality has no rational basis--why the Supreme Court overruled the people of Colorado's amendment to the state constitution in Romer v. Evans (1996)--then certainly this ban must be irrational as well:
Public employees in San Bernardino County are being asked to cover up tattoos and remove visible facial piercings in the workplace.

A dress code adopted by the county Tuesday also bans jeans and T- shirts with logos.

...

"We're not trying to limit anyone's freedom of expression," said Mark Uffer, county administrative officer. "Some people may find tattoos objectionable. When you come to work, we're asking they be covered. We're no different from banks and credit unions."
So, will the ACLU be filing suit on this?


 
Promoting Diversity on College Campuses

Oh dear. Someone is pushing for more diversity on South Dakota college campuses, and the usual suspects are concerned about this dangerous trend:
The measure's main sponsor, Rep. Phyllis Heineman, R-Sioux Falls, said HB1222 is needed to make sure students are exposed to a diverse range of ideas.

Members of the Legislature are invigorated by debate, and the same idea should apply on campuses, Heineman said. "It's not because we agree. It's because we disagree, and that's where we learn."

But opponents said South Dakota universities already encourage intellectual diversity, and passage of the bill could give South Dakota a bad reputation that makes it difficult for schools to hire good instructors.
Oh yeah, good instructors will be terrified by the prospect that the universities are supposed to promote diversity. "You mean that I have to teach at the same school as those sorts?" (You know, the ones that might occasionally vote for Republicans.)

The article goes on to quote someone who thinks that diversity is a good thing:
Anne Neal of the American Council of Trustees and Alumni said universities should encourage an exchange of ideas from a variety of political and ideological viewpoints.

"It encourages students to think for themselves," Neal said.

Neal said her organization conducted a survey of students at 50 universities from across the nation, and 49 percent said some professors commented on politics in class even if it was outside the class subject matter. The study found that nearly a third of the students thought that in some courses they needed to agree with a professor's political or social views to get a good grade.

"Encouraging a robust exchange of ideas goes to the very heart of a quality education," Neal said.
I would put myself in the "nearly a third," based on my experiences as an undergraduate. Let me emphasize that in my major, history, I never felt any pressure to agree with my professors. Nor was this ever an issue in science or math classes, where the subject matter is verifiable.


 
Myths About Marriage Licenses

I mentioned a couple of years ago about this emerging myth that state involvement in marriage was created to enforce bans on interracial marriage. It being a very convenient falsehood, it is appearing here in Idaho, in the letters section of the Idaho Statesman:
The Legislature is back in session considering a new ban on gay marriage. Marriage through the ages was a union created between loving couples. The state didn't get involved until licensing marriage was an effective way to prevent interracial couples from marrying.
This is simply false. Maryland is believed to be the first colony to ban interracial marriage, in 1664, from Archives of Maryland, 1:533-4:
An Act Concerning Negroes & other Slaues

Bee itt Enacted by the Right Honble the Lord Proprietary by the aduice and Consent of the upper and lower house of this present Generall Assembly That all Negroes or other slaues already within the Prouince And all Negroes and other slaues to bee hereafter imported into the Prouince shall serue Durante Vita And all Children born of any Negro or other slaue shall be Slaues as their ffathers were for the terme of their Hues And forasmuch as divers freeborne English women forgettfull of their free Condicon and to the disgrace of our Nation doe intermarry with Negro Slaues by which alsoe diuers suites may arise touching the Issue of such woemen and a great damage doth befall the Masters of such Negros for preuention whereof for deterring such freeborne women from such shamefull Matches Bee itt further Enacted by the Authority advice and Consent aforesaid That whatsoever free borne woman shall inter marry with any slaue from and after the Last day of this
present Assembly shall Serue the master of such slaue dureing the life of her husband And that all the Issue of such freeborne woemen soe marryed shall be Slaues as their fathers were And Bee itt further Enacted that all the Issues of English or other freeborne woemen that haue already marryed Negroes shall serve the Masters of their Parents till they be Thirty yeares of age and noe longer.
Notice that even this law doesn't actually prohibit such interracial marriages; it only puts severe consequences on the woman--effectively making her a slave.

But Maryland has laws regulating and licensing marriage well before this point, and the language is clear that the objective is unrelated to slavery or interracial marriage. For example, this 1640 statute at Archives of Maryland 1:97:
An Act touching Marriages

No partie may Solemnize marriage with any woman afore the banes 3 days before published in some Chappell or other place of the County where publique instnts are used to be notified or else afore oath made & caution entred in the County Court that neither partie is apprentice or ward or precontracted or within the forbidden degrees of consanguinity or under govermt of parents or tutors and certificate of such oath & caution taken from the Judge or Register of the Court upon paine of fine & recompence to the partie greived This Act to endure for 2 years after the end of this Assembly
This 1658 law at Archives of Maryland, 1:374, seems to be the first that involves the government issuing a specific license or "certificat" authorizing a marriage:
An act for the Publication of
Marriages.

Be it Enacted by the Lord Proprietary by and with the Consent of this present Generall Assembly, That all persons who shall desire Marriage haue liberty to apply themselves either to a Magistral or Minister for the Contracting thereof. It is further Enacted by the authority aforesaid that all Persons within this Province intending marriadge shall make publication thereof, either at the county court Church Chapple next where they dwell, or meeting Howse, and that at such tyme as such Court Church Chappell or meeting be full and thereby capable to take cognisance thereof, ffrom which Court Church Chappell or meeting Certificat being given forth, it shalbe lawfull for such Magistrat or Minister to marry such persons as aforesaid. And if any person shall presume to contract Marriadge without such publication and certificat as aforesaid, Every such person soe Contracted or marryed shalbe lyable to a fine of one Thousand Pounds of Tobacco. And every such Magistrat or Minister contracting or marrying without such publication and certificat as aforesaid shalbe lyable to a fine of five thousand Pounds of Tobacco the one halfe of the said fine to the Lord Proprietary, the other halfe to the Informer. This Act to continue for three yeares or to the end of the next Gennerall Assembly and no longer
Of course, Christian Europe has had a system of regulation of marriage since at least the second century, intended to prevent invalid or illicit marriages. "Reading of the banns" was a practice started in the twelfth century, by which the community was informed at church that a particular couple planned to marry--so that if anyone knew a reason why the marriage should not happen, they could confidentially state the reason. Obviously, one problem would be if the bride or groom was already married, but the problem of consanguinity was also an issue--especially because it was not unknown for people to be born "on the wrong side of the sheets" (as illegitimacy used to be called in Britain), and not know who their actual father was. The Church had become increasingly concerned about this in the medieval period; read here for a tremendously complex discussion of the hows and the whys, especially if you are having trouble sleeping.

Not surprisingly, in a society where state and church were one and the same, the government was naturally involved in regulating marriage.


Tuesday, February 07, 2006
 
Sometimes, Courage And Being Right Are Enough

Sometimes you aren't properly armed for the situation, but you don't feel like you have any choice in the matter:
WARNER ROBINS - Cres Dorough was sound asleep when the screams of his 21-year-old daughter propelled him out of bed and into the living room where he tackled an armed intruder.

The two men wrestled in the living room of the one-level Old Perry Road home just after midnight Saturday. Dorough said he knew the man was armed with a pistol because he saw it right before he tackled him.

But all the 41-year-old could think about was protecting his family. A second man, armed with a shotgun, was also in the home.

"I really didn't have time to be scared or angry," Dorough said Monday. "I was just reacting. My first thought was to make sure everyone was safe."

An 8-year-old daughter was just a few feet away from the scuffle on the couch where she'd fallen asleep watching TV. Her mother ran into the room and grabbed the child, pulling her to safety.

The rest of the six-member household was waking up and people were streaming into the room. The man Dorough was wrestling with broke free and the second intruder, the one with the shotgun, joined his companion in fleeing the house.

Dorough suffered some bumps and bruises in the struggle with the intruder, but no one was seriously injured.

"I guess they just decided to bail," said Dorough, who's employed at an irrigation supply company in Bonaire. "They kept saying, 'Where's your money? Where's the money?' . . . We're just working folks. There wasn't any money to give them."

Sheriff's deputies arrested three men shortly after the home invasion. The third suspect was believed to have been driving the getaway car, which he ran into a ditch sometime during the ill-fated venture.

Todd Jann Lowrey, 26, and William Robert Brow, 25, both of Warner Robins, and Shawn Michael McDowell, 22, of Bonaire, were being held without bond in the Houston County jail, Sheriff's Cpl. James Williams said Monday.

Lowrey and Brow were charged with criminal attempt to commit armed robbery, burglary, aggravated assault and possession of a firearm in the commission of a crime, Williams said.
I don't encourage attacking armed intruders, but it is worthwhile to note that the bad guys obviously believed that they had more to lose by using their guns than the good guy thought he would lose if he didn't put a fight. This is one of the reasons that so many confrontations with criminals, even armed criminals, work out surprisingly well. The bad guys really don't want to draw attention to themselves by firing a gun (which usually causes the neighbors to call the police).

There is an asymmetry of desires at work. The bad guys wanted money. The good guy wanted to protect his family. You can tell which desire was stronger.


 
Homosexual Couples: Alternatives to Marriage in Idaho

There are a number of claims made for why Idaho should recognize same-sex marriage. One of them is that a married couple has certain rights with respect to hospital visitation and taking care of financial affairs. Well, guess what? You don't need to be married for this. Click here to download the Idaho Durable Power of Attorney form specifically for health-related questions.

The Idaho Attorney-General's office has a web page discussing how to do this, and you will see that there's nothing preventing same-sex couples from using this form:
Who can I appoint to be my Health Care Agent?

The choice of an individual to serve as your Health Care Agent is a very important one. You should discuss your wishes at length with the individual you plan on appointing. Make sure the person you plan to appoint is comfortable with the directives in your living will and is willing and able to carry out your wishes. It is also recommended that you discuss your options and wishes with your family, physicians, attorney, and clergy. None of the following people may be designated as your agent:

  • your doctor or other treating health care provider;

  • a non-relative employee of a hospital, your doctor, or other treating health care provider;

  • an operator of a nursing home, assisted living facility, or community care facility; or

  • a non-relative employee of a nursing home, assisted living facility, or community care facility.

    When do my Health Care Agent's responsibilities and authority begin?

    The only time your agent will be able to make decisions is when you are unable to make your own decisions.
  • The law changed last year so that you no longer even need to have the form notarized.

    So what happens if you are just passing through Idaho with your partner, and get into a traffic accident?
    What if I have a living will that was created in a state other than Idaho?

    If the living will created in a state other than Idaho conforms substantially to Idaho’s living will statutes then it will be recognized as valid.
    What about financial matters? Idaho (and I presume every other state) has something called a "durable power of attorney" which provides for one person to take care of the financial affairs of another--and there's no requirement that you be married to that other person.

    Yes, you now have two forms to fill out, instead of getting married. But if this seems like a hassle, you don't realize that getting married isn't exactly free of paperwork. When I got married in 1980 in California, my wife and I both had to get blood tests. We had to provide birth certificates. We had to go to the city hall (or perhaps the West Los Angeles county courthouse--can't remember now) and fill out at least one page for the marriage license.

    Now, there are certainly other benefits to being married--but aside from the tax issues, most of these are pretty easy to take care of without governmental recognition of your marriage. Remember that straight people have been living together for several decades now, and have had to figure out ways around the traditional structure.


     
    What Happened to the WMDs?

    What troubles me is how little coverage this is getting. This is one of the major news stories of the year--and the news media are ignoring it. Guess why?
    The House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence is studying 12 hours of audio recordings between Saddam Hussein and his top advisers that may provide clues to the whereabouts of Iraq's weapons of mass destruction.

    The committee has already confirmed through the intelligence community that the recordings of Saddam's voice are authentic, according to its chairman, Rep. Peter Hoekstra of Michigan, who would not go into detail about the nature of the conversations or their context. They were provided to his committee by a former federal prosecutor, John Loftus, who says he received them from a former American military intelligence analyst.

    Mr. Loftus will make the recordings available to the public on February 17 at the annual meeting of the Intelligence Summit, of which he is president. On the organization's Web site, Mr. Loftus is quoted as promising that the recordings "will be able to provide a few definitive answers to some very important - and controversial - weapons of mass destruction questions." Contacted yesterday by The New York Sun, Mr. Loftus would only say that he delivered a CD of the recordings to a representative of the committee, and the following week the committee announced that it was reopening the investigation into weapons of mass destruction.
    You remember that I mentioned that Hussein's vice air marshal (number two in the Iraqi Air Force) says that the WMDs were flown and driven to Syria? Well, the news story mentions him, also:
    Mr. Hoekstra has already met with a former Iraqi air force general, Georges Sada, who claims that Saddam used civilian airplanes to ferry chemical weapons to Syria in 2002. Mr. Hoekstra is now talking to Iraqis who Mr. Sada claims took part in the mission, and the congressman said the former air force general "should not just be discounted." Mr. Hoekstra also said he is in touch with other people who have come forward to the committee - Iraqis and Americans - who claim that the weapons inspectors may have overlooked other key sites and evidence. He has also asked the director of national intelligence, John Negroponte, to declassify some 35,000 boxes of Iraqi documents obtained in the war that have yet to be translated.

    "I still believe there are key individuals who have not been debriefed and there are key sites that have never been investigated. I know there are 35,000 boxes of documents that have never been translated. I am frustrated," Mr. Hoekstra said.
    This gets worse. Sada isn't the only one giving information about the WMDs--and it appears that our intelligence agencies are refusing to pursue this:
    He added, "Right now, it's not my job to investigate the specific claims. We are doing this a little with Sada. But we still don't fully understand what happened in Iraq three years after the invasion, three years after we control the country. There are enough people coming to the committee, Sada is not the only one, saying, 'you really ought to look under this rock.' This gives me cause to take up the issue again."

    ...

    The chairman of the House intelligence panel said he is frustrated with the American intelligence community's lack of curiosity on following up these leads, particularly the story from Mr. Sada. "I talked to one person relatively high up in DNI, and I asked him about this and asked are they going to follow up, and he looked at me and said, 'No we don't think so.' At this point, I guess you guys don't get it.

    "I am trying to find out if our postwar intelligence was as bad as our pre-war intelligence, " Mr. Hoekstra said.
    I can't figure out if the problem with the intelligence agencies is that their political motivations are driving this (remember that CIA has long been a hotbed of liberal intellectuals, which explains why they missed the collapse of the Soviet Union--see Harry T. Rositzke's Managing Moscow for an example of this), or if it is simple incompetence.

    The Jawa Report points out that just because these recordings indicate that Iraq had WMDs does not mean that they actually had them. As I pointed out in September of 2003:
    Fox News this evening interviewed a Newsweek reporter named Weisskopf who said that it appears that it may not have been that Hussein was misleading the rest of the world, but that the heads of some Iraq's WMD programs were misleading Hussein! Why?

    Weisskopf suggested that these officials misled Hussein about the extent and availability of WMDs in order to keep funding going for their programs. This is, when you think about it, not too terribly surprising. Hussein was, to put it mildly, not all that knowledgeable about the sciences. As long as Hussein thought his scientists were building WMDs, they had jobs, and not too much chance of being tortured to death.

    There's another reason that I can think of why they might have lied to Hussein. At the end of World War II, Hitler was giving orders to move various German Army units around--units that no longer existed. No one dared tell Hitler that these units no longer existed. If WMD program officials had been accepting money for programs that produced nothing, they would have been understandably very reluctant to have this news get to Hussein. Perhaps the intercepted messages that led the U.S. to believe that Iraq had WMDs available on 45 minute notice were like those phantom German Army units--who wants to tell Hussein that they don't exist?
    A Time magazine article of the time (which has, unfortunately, gone into the "premium content" zone) pointed out:
    Saddam's underlings appear to have invented weapons programs and fabricated experiments to keep the funding coming. The Mukhabarat captain says the scamming went all the way to the top of the mic to its director, Huweish, who would appease Saddam with every report, never telling him the truth about failures or production levels and meanwhile siphoning money from projects. "He would tell the President he had invented a new missile for Stealth bombers but hadn't. So Saddam would say, 'Make 20 missiles.' He would make one and put the rest in his pocket," says the captain. Colonel Hussan al-Duri, who spent several years in the 1990s as an air-defense inspector, saw similar cons. "Some projects were just stealing money," he says. A scientist or officer would say he needed $10 million to build a special weapon. "They would produce great reports, but there was never anything behind them."

    If Saddam may not have known the true nature of his own arsenal, it is no wonder that Western intelligence services were picking up so many clues about so many weapons systems. But it helps answer one logical argument that the Administration has been making ever since the weapons failed to appear after the war ended: why, if Saddam had nothing to hide, did he endure billions of dollars in sanctions and ultimately prompt his own destruction? Perhaps because even he was mistaken about what was really at stake in this fight.

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    Global Warming

    I wish that there was a bit more information in this news story--for all I know, this Russian astronomer is making his predictions from reading Nostradamus:
    ST. PETERSBURG, Russia, Feb. 7 (UPI) -- A Russian astronomer has predicted that Earth will experience a "mini Ice Age" in the middle of this century, caused by low solar activity.

    Khabibullo Abdusamatov of the Pulkovo Astronomic Observatory in St. Petersburg said Monday that temperatures will begin falling six or seven years from now, when global warming caused by increased solar activity in the 20th century reaches its peak, RIA Novosti reported.

    The coldest period will occur 15 to 20 years after a major solar output decline between 2035 and 2045, Abdusamatov said.

    Dramatic changes in the earth's surface temperatures are an ordinary phenomenon, not an anomaly, he said, and result from variations in the sun's energy output and ultraviolet radiation.

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    Monday, February 06, 2006
     
    Idaho Marriage Amendment

    It passed the Idaho House of Representatives. As I mentioned last week, this isn't exactly the text that I would want. I would prefer simply reserving the power to define marriage to the voters, or the legislature. Still, I can't imagine a circumstance that would require the legislature to revise the definition of marriage as "one man, one woman" that is likely to come up in the near future.

    UPDATE: The vote was 53-17, and predictably, all but one of the 13 Democrats voted against it. (Yes, we do have Democrats in the Idaho legislature.) Bryan Fischer reports that the Republicans "No" votes came from
    representatives Jana Kemp of Boise (Dist. 16), Janet Miller of Boise (Dist. 17), Bob Ring of Caldwell (Dist. 10), Kathy Skippen of Emmett (Dist. 11), and Tom Trail of Moscow (Dist. 6).
    If you live in their district, you might want to let them know how you felt about this, and suggest that if they want to sit in a legislature and argue for same-sex marriage, they might want to move to Canada.

    Again quoting from Bryan Fischer:
    This means that the next step is for this bill to be heard in the Senate State Affairs Committee this Friday, February 10 in the Gold Room (4th floor of the Capitol) at 8 AM.

    Public testimony will be taken Friday, and it's even more critical that supporters of marriage turn out to give testimony than it was last week before the House committee, since the amendment was blocked last year in the senate.
    I wouldn't be too overconfident of it passing--we lost last time in the State Senate.

    Here's a list of the Republicans who voted against this amendment last session:
    John Andreason, Boise (Dist. 15)

    Charles Coiner, Twin Falls (Dist. 24)

    Dick Compton, Coeur d'Alene (Dist. 5)

    Tom Gannon, Buhl (Dist. 23)

    John Goedde, Couer d'Alene (Dist. 4)

    Brad Little, Emmett (Dist. 11)

    Gary Schroeder, Moscow (Dist. 6)

    Joe Stegner, Lewiston (Dist. 7)
    You might want to call them up and remind them that a statute isn't enough, if the Idaho Supreme Court decides to behave as badly as the supreme courts of Hawaii, Vermont, and Massachusetts, and recognize that there is a constitutional right for same-sex couples to marry--or for that matter, a man and three women to marry, or three men, one woman, and Lester's pet goat. Any argument that makes same-sex marriage a constitutional right applies equally to polygamy--and it only takes a bit of stretching to make it apply to men marrying ten year old girls, or Lester's pet goat.

    Click here to get contact information for your legislators. Click here for a map that lets you find out which district you are in.

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    Is This An Equal Protection Violation?

    There are some people out there who engage in a really disgusting practice--one that I, and many others, find repulsive, and contrary to the Bible. While not everyone engaged in this