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Clayton Cramer's BLOG

Clayton's commentary on news and events of the day. Broadly speaking, I'm a conservative with libertarian sympathies (getting more conservative as my children get older).



Email me at blogmail at claytoncramer dot com. Sorry to be so indirect, but all spambots must die! But they haven't died yet! Include the word spamIamnot in your subject line to make sure that my spam blocker lets you through.

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Saturday, August 19, 2006
 
Global Warming: The Mainstream Media Are At Least Admitting That Scientists Differ About This

This Washington Post article at least admits that there is considerable disagreement among reputable scientists as to whether global warming (even if it is anthropogenic) is increasing hurricanes:
Scientists Disagree On Link Between Storms, Warming

Same Data, Different Conclusions

A year after Hurricane Katrina and other major storms battered the U.S. coast, the question of whether hurricanes are becoming more destructive because of global warming has become perhaps the most hotly contested question in the scientific debate over climate change.

Academics have published a flurry of papers either supporting or debunking the idea that warmer temperatures linked to human activity are fueling more intense storms. The issue remains unresolved, but it has acquired a political potency that has made both sides heavily invested in the outcome.

Paradoxically, the calm hurricane season in the Atlantic so far this year has only intensified the argument.

Both sides are using identical data but coming up with conflicting conclusions. There are several reasons.

Using different time periods to chart hurricane patterns can influence the results. Different academic backgrounds also affect how researchers interpret the data. Climate scientists tend to test hypotheses and examine the underlying causes of climate variability over time, which makes them more comfortable identifying broad climate trends. Hurricane forecasters tend to be more focused on predicting the intensity and paths of individual storms, and often focus on factors such as wind shear and water temperature that can cause a storm to shift within a matter of days or hours, so they tend to emphasize natural variability over long-term climate shifts.

...

Scientists who doubt a link with global warming say this year's average Atlantic hurricane season simply shows how variable weather can be. Christopher Landsea, who works in the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Hurricane Research Division, published an opinion piece in the journal Science late last month in which he argued that data indicating that recent hurricanes have been more intense than those in the 1970s and '80s may be based on flawed information. Measurement technologies were less sophisticated then and may have underestimated the strength of earlier storms, he said.

"We're woefully underestimating how strong hurricanes were back then," said Landsea, who wrote that five tropical cyclones that were originally classified as Category 3 would be rated as Category 4 today. "I'm sure it's confusing to the general public, since you have different scientists saying different things. We're all trying to figure out the same thing: What's going on with our climate?"

...

Studies supporting a link between global warming and storm intensity keep coming. The latest will be published this week by Florida State University geography professor James B. Elsner in the journal Geophysical Research Letters. Elsner found that average air temperatures during hurricane season predict the Atlantic Ocean's surface temperatures, not vice versa, which he said means it is "much more likely the atmosphere is warming the ocean" and helping create more severe storms.

And Judith A. Curry, of Georgia Tech's School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, who co-authored a paper last year suggesting that rising sea temperatures have been accompanied by more intense hurricanes, has challenged Landsea's critique. She said Landsea and like-minded researchers have not "done the hard work" to reanalyze the entire historic hurricane database to determine whether it really is skewed. She does not go as far as Elsner, however, saying his paper identifies "an interesting statistical relationship" but does not physically explain how warmer air might be heating the Atlantic.

Curry's work, in turn, has been challenged by Phil Klotzbach, a research associate at Colorado State University, who published a paper in May suggesting that, since 1986, there has been no global trend in hurricane intensity. Klotzbach's paper, in Geophysical Research Letters, looked at a 20-year period rather than the 35-year period Curry and others examined, which explains how he reached different conclusions.

"At this point, we haven't seen any significant correlation" between hurricanes and climate change, he said.

MIT professor Kerry Emmanuel -- who helped spark the debate with a paper in the journal Nature a year ago suggesting that warmer sea surface temperatures had spawned more destructive storms -- has made an effort to correct for measurement biases in his studies.

He is still criticized by researchers such as Landsea, but Emmanuel responded in an interview that the bias in the underlying data "isn't very large." He added that he and other researchers in Europe have found such a strong link between warming sea surface temperatures and more intense hurricanes that, "You literally have to argue that the correlation is an accident. That to me is improbable."
Three or four years ago, I don't think you would have seen a paper like the Washington Post admit that this is a matter under serious debate by scientists--and the environmentalists (such as the Environmental Defense Fund) are running television ads that are just lies--pretending that there is no serious debate about this matter. (I'm thinking of the ad with the locomotive approaching a guy standing on the tracks who says, "It's 30 years away--it won't affect me."

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What Causes Vigilantism? A Lesson From The Recent British Airliner Incidents

America has a long history of vigilantism, and contrary to how some on the left try to confuse vigilantism with lynching, they are quite different institutions. In incidents such as the South Carolina Regulators of the eighteenth century, of the California gold fields, in San Francisco in 1851 and 1856, vigilantism has often been more a form of popular tribunalism than lynching.

Historians who have examined the California gold fields vigilante movement found that these courts were comparable to the legally constituted courts of the time in protecting the rights of the accused. While the left is currently revising the history of the San Francisco Vigilance Movement to turn it into a "evil Republican vs. good Democrat" matter, most sensible people can correctly identify that when a county supervisor shoots to death a newspaper publisher in front of many witnesses because the supervisor didn't like bad press--that's a criminal matter--and in a city where the corruption was as serious as San Francisco, reaching throughout the elected government (some things never change), what's the alternative?

Vigilantism in American history has been a popular response to governments refusing to do their primary job: public safety. Vigilantism isn't perfect (although neither is the legally constituted system), but it should serve as a warning bell to the government that the public is beginning to lose confidence. A recent example involves British tourists who have stopped pretending that the British government--which seems to be infested with the same paranoia of "racial profiling" as our government--is doing what it is supposed to do:

British holidaymakers staged an unprecedented mutiny - refusing to allow their flight to take off until two men they feared were terrorists were forcibly removed.

The extraordinary scenes happened after some of the 150 passengers on a Malaga-Manchester flight overheard two men of Asian appearance apparently talking Arabic.

Passengers told cabin crew they feared for their safety and demanded police action. Some stormed off the Monarch Airlines Airbus A320 minutes before it was due to leave the Costa del Sol at 3am. Others waiting for Flight ZB 613 in the departure lounge refused to board it.

But they were just two Asian men speaking Arabic? Isn't this a bit of an overreaction? A little deeper in the article:
The trouble in Malaga flared last Wednesday as two British citizens in their 20s waited in the departure lounge to board the pre-dawn flight and were heard talking what passengers took to be Arabic. Worries spread after a female passenger said she had heard something that alarmed her.

Passengers noticed that, despite the heat, the pair were wearing leather jackets and thick jumpers and were regularly checking their watches.
The article reports other incidents that show a distinct lack of confidence in the official procedures--this is the government's alarm bell.


 
The Cult of the Breathe Right Strip Grows

My wife completed her second night using them this morning--she's had some problems getting the "delicate skin" version to stay on because of oily skin--but she reports that she slept through the night last night. For her, this is pretty remarkable--indeed, she couldn't remember the last time that happened for her.


 
Great Moments in Car Alarms

My wife was in the Wal-Mart parking lot a few months back, and she heard this odd, somewhat muffled robotic sounding voice. She wasn't close enough to clearly understand what it was saying--just the indignant tone. As she approached it, she was finally able to make out what it was saying:
I have been violated! I have been violated!
Well, yes, I suppose so, but it rather sounds like something that a personal security alarm would say--or perhaps something that a female robot might scream in a future that is too perverse for me to think about.


 
Democrats Running on the "Economic Suffering of the Middle Class" Theme

I see Democrats trying to use the "George Bush has forgotten the middle class and its economic suffering" card as part of the elections. Perhaps this will fly somewhere, but we were approaching gridlock in the Wal-Mart/Old Navy mall complex parking lot this afternoon at Eagle and Fairview in East Meridian today. And no, they weren't at the mall to hold out "Will work for food" signs. It was crazy!

Now, we've been living up here in the wilderness above Horseshoe Bend for a couple of months now, so perhaps I've lost perspective, but I can't remember feeling so much unabashed affluency-driven crowding since I last lived in Orange County.


Friday, August 18, 2006
 
Ford's Problems

I am concerned about Ford's continuing problems, both because they are a major American employer and manufacturer, and because I own a fair amount of Ford bonds (fortunately, much of which matures in 2007, well before I expect any default could happen). Ford isn't the only American maker being hit by rising gasoline prices, of course--but articles like this one suggest that they are getting hit harder than GM and Chrysler:
Ford Motor Co. said Friday it would temporarily halt production at 10 assembly plants between now and the end of the year, blaming high gas prices for pushing many consumers away from its pickups and SUVs and toward higher-mileage models.

Ford said the cuts will reduce the need for costly incentives to reduce bloated inventories. But they also illustrate just how out of step the lineup at the nation's second-largest automaker has become, as it loses market share to mostly Asian competitors under the watch of Chairman and Chief Executive Bill Ford.

General Motors Corp. and DaimlerChrysler AG's Chrysler Group also have been caught in the shift away from trucks and SUVs to smaller cars and crossovers as consumers seek better fuel economy. The Big Three's combined U.S. market share fell to 54.5 percent for the first seven months of 2006, down from 58.7 percent in the same period a year ago.

GM already has announced it will cut production 7 percent to 8 percent in the third-quarter.

Ford announced a turnaround plan in January that called for shedding 25,000 to 30,000 jobs and closing 14 plants by 2012. By year's end, the company was to have cut production capacity 15 percent.

Bill Ford said last month that the plan _ dubbed the "Way Forward" _ would be accelerated. He said Friday that the details would be revealed in September.
Okay, it is possible that Ford failed to respond as quickly as GM and Chrysler to all this--but there is a pretty major boycott of Ford under way at the moment--and I see no discussion of whether this might be contributing to their problems, relative to their American competitors:
When Ford responds to those who write concerning their promotion of homosexual marriage, the response they get from Ford's Customer Relationship Center says their support "is a strong commitment we intend to carry forward with no exception." For Ford, that support also includes homosexual polygamy.

To show those supporting traditional marriage they mean business, Ford sponsored the June 6 issue of the homosexual publication The Advocate. The cover reads: "Polygamy & Gay Men. Dirty laundry or sexual freedom? How gay men handle multiple partners." The article promotes homosexual polygamy.

Ford sponsored the publication with a full page back cover advertising Ford Motor company product Volvo and a full page ad for all Ford brands with the line: "Ford Motor Company. Standing strong with America's families and communities."

Ford's support for the magazine's promotion of homosexual polygamy leaves no doubt that Ford means to continue pushing the homosexual agenda, even including homosexual polygamy.

To see the front cover, the contents page and the ads for Ford and Volvo, click here. I must warn you, it will be offensive to many. The pages show the contents of the magazine which Ford helped sponsor with two full-page ads, but I felt we must include the proof. If you don't want to see it, please don't click the link.

At their stockholders meeting on May 11, Ford voted 95% of the ballots cast to continue their support of the homosexual agenda rather than be neutral in the cultural battle.

The boycott is working. The value of Ford stock has gone down 13% since the boycott began, while sales continue to drop.
Now, the AFA is going to take credit for this damage to Ford, both to make themselves look powerful, and to use it as leverage against Ford to remain neutral in the culture wars.

I've never been a Ford fan; let me tell you about the Mercury Capri I owned, long, long ago. But in a lot of Red State America, you buy Chevy or you buy Ford. Ford's continuing insistence on being the gay car company can't be sitting well.


 
Liberal Democrat Civil Rights Leader Spews Racial Hatred; Wal-Mart Fires Him

It really tells me a lot about the rarified atmosphere that liberals live in that they say things like this, and don't realize as they say it that...whoops!
Andrew Young, the American civil rights leader who was hired by Wal- Mart Stores to improve its public image, has resigned from that post after telling an African-American newspaper that Jewish, Arab and Korean shop owners had "ripped off" urban communities for years, "selling us stale bread, and bad meat and wilted vegetables."

In the interview, published Thursday in The Los Angeles Sentinel, a weekly, Young said Wal-Mart should displace mom-and-pop stores in urban neighborhoods.

"You see those are the people who have been overcharging us," he said of the owners of the small stores, "and they sold out and moved to Florida. I think they've ripped off our communities enough. First it was Jews, then it was Koreans and now it's Arabs."
And to think, Andrew Young, back when he was Jimmy Carter's ambassador to the U.N., claimed that Britain practically invented racism. Projection, perhaps?


 
Watch How The Left Spins This Pardon

The left was full of excuses for the Marc Rich pardon--and quite a number of other pardons given by President Clinton to the rich and connected. This pardon, however, is to a no one:
WASHINGTON (CNN) -- By granting absolution to a convicted moonshiner, George W. Bush also earned the unique distinction of becoming the first president to pardon a cast member of the 1972 Academy Award-nominated movie "Deliverance."

Randall Leece Deal of Clayton, Georgia, had a small role in the film about four Atlanta businessmen who have unpleasant encounters with locals during a north Georgia canoe trip.

For the last 16 years, Deal, 66, has worked at the Rabun County Sheriff's Department, a far cry from his life in the early 1960s when he was convicted on two counts of violating liquor laws and one count of conspiring to violate liquor laws.

The crimes are commonly known as moonshining and Deal still disputes the conspiracy charge.

"That really wasn't true," he said. "But anyway, that's what they charged us with."

Deal never served any jail time for the convictions, but the black mark on his record rankled him enough to seek a presidential pardon more than 40 years later. "I just got to thinking about it, you know. Just to get her wiped out if possible," he said.

Deal hired a local attorney and "just filled out the papers and sent it in to the White House, or wherever you send them to, a good long time ago."

...

Deal defies the image of the well-connected, deep-pocketed presidential pardon recipient like controversial financier Marc Rich, who received one of President Clinton's final pardons in 2001.

But Deal has never made a single federal political contribution, according to Federal Election Commission records. When asked if he had any special political connections with the White House, Deal laughed and said, "Oh no. No sir. None whatsoever."

Deal did describe himself as a Bush supporter, pardon or no pardon. Although the pardon doesn't hurt.
I'm sure that the left will find some way to turn this into, "George Bush is soft on drug dealers!" or something equally ridiculous.

I suppose if George Bush found a cure for cancer, the New York Times would report it under the headline, "Bush forces tens of thousands of doctors out of work."


 
Headstones

My wife is rather partial to visiting old graveyards, and I guess that I have picked up the habit. It sounds rather morbid, or at least Victorian-era sentimental (did I mention that my wife's specialty is Victorian British literature?), but it is often quite interesting what you find on gravestones. For example, you can tell something of the wealth of the family of the dearly departed by how elaborately carved the headstone was. Here's the stone of Josiah Soule, a distant relative who died sometime in the late 17th century in Duxbury, Massachusetts. (I could actually somewhat read the date when I visited there last year, but it is certainly not readable in this picture.) It is a rather powerful feeling to find yourself standing atop the graves of your first ancestors in America.


Click to enlarge


A bit less than a century later, another relative of mine has a considerably nicer carving--and this is actually pretty typical of the Duxbury gravestones of that era.


Click to enlarge


You will notice on both headstones there are weirdly extraterrestial looking faces. In the 17th century, Puritans often put skulls on headstones as a reminder, in the words of Thomas Gray's "Elegy Written in a Country Churchyard":
The boast of heraldry, the pomp of pow'r,
And all that beauty, all that wealth e'er gave,
Awaits alike th' inevitable hour,
The paths of glory lead but to the grave”
Life (at least this life) is fleeting, and be prepared to meet your Maker. By the time of the Revolution, this depressing reminder is starting to give way to angels--which comes from the Greek word angelos for messenger--a reminder that while this life is fleeting, there is hope. See this 1774 headstone from the same graveyard. It's primitive art, but at least you can see the wings!


Click to enlarge


 
JonBenet Ramsey

It was overcovered when the murder was discovered, and it is overcovered now. Should the arrest of this guy Karr in Thailand have made the news? Sure. Should it be a news story bigger than North Korea's nuclear weapons development, and comparable to what is going on in the Middle East? No way.

It isn't just Fox News, but also CNN, that have given way too much attention to this story. But the perversion involved (this is just too disgusting to call salacious) is way too attractive to a lot of viewers, and the cable networks are playing this story way too loud.


 
Question About Ruth Gikow's "Psychosis--Two Napoleons and a Josephine"

This is a mildly famous art work from the 20th century. I believe that it portrays what used to be a pretty common situation in European mental hospitals--patients who believe themselves to be famous historical figures--and when there are two Napoleons in the same hospital, that's a problem. Two Napoleons and one Josephine in the same hospital would even be more of a problem. Can anyone tell me any more about Gikow's painting?


 
Crazy Woman With Screwdriver on Airplane

I'm resisting the urge to quote this...nah, I've stopped resisting the urge:
Aug. 17 - A woman on a trans-Atlantic flight diverted to Boston for security concerns passed several notes to crew members, urinated on the cabin floor and made comments the crew believed were references to al-Qaeda and the Sept. 11 attacks, according to an affidavit filed Thursday.

Catherine C. Mayo, 59, of Braintree, Vt., appeared in federal court Thursday on a charge of interfering with a flight crew on United 923 as it flew from London to Washington, D.C., Wednesday.

She was dressed in a Rolling Stones T-shirt and socks without shoes for the hearing and was ordered held pending a detention and probable cause hearing next Thursday.

Her attorney, federal public defender Page Kelley, said Mayo was "just barely lucid" when they spoke. "She's got some very serious mental health problems."


Mayo's son, Josh, 31, described his mother as a peace activist
and said she had been in Pakistan since March. She traveled there often since making a pen pal prior to Sept. 11, 2001, he said. The pen pal hasn't been allowed to visit the U.S., he added.
She's definitely a peace activist--but at least this description doesn't make her sound mentally ill--just "crazy" in the "Bush=Hitler" sense of the word:
Mayo does have clear connections to Pakistan. The Daily Times of Pakistan has published columns she has written, including one on March 18, 2003, in which she criticized President Bush.

"The folksongs of the 1960s will never be written again because of President George Bush," she wrote. "He has hampered the liberties of my country in the name of September 11. Songs now can only talk of patriotism they cannot mention peace."
On the other hand, later parts of the story do suggest someone who is very disturbed--a terrorist would know better than to say these things:
In the affidavit, Choldin says flight attendants noticed Mayo about 90 minutes into the flight because she was pushing against the aircraft bulkhead. When the attendant told her to return to her seat, Mayo said she wanted to speak to an air marshal and made statements about knowing that people wanted to see what was in her bag.

FBI spokeswoman Gail Marcinkiewicz confirmed Thursday that authorities found a screwdriver and an unspecified number of cigarette lighters in her bag, items which are banned under new security regulations. Marcinkiewicz also confirmed that matches were found Mayo's bag.

She also had a bottle of water, which did not appear to be supplied by the flight crew. It wasn't clear how the items made it through airport security, which is been significantly tightened since the terror plot arrests.

Later during the flight, according to the affidavit, Mayo asked a flight attendant: "Is this a training flight for United Flight 93?" The flight attendant didn't know if she made a mistake because the flight was actually Flight 923, or if she was referring to Flight 93, the hijacked plane that crashed in Pennsylvania on Sept. 11.

...

"She stated that the photographs would be awful, and she indicated that they related to the people that she had been with in the mountains of Pakistan," the affidavit said.

Flight attendants summoned the captain, who spoke to Mayo. During the conversation, she made reference to there being "six steps to building some unspecified thing."

"She made reference to being with people associated with two words. She stated that she could not say what the two words were because the last time that she had said the two words she had been kicked off of a flight in the United Arab Emirates," according to the affidavit.

The captain and purser both believed that she was referring to al-Qaeda, Choldin wrote.

About 35 minutes later, when she tried to go to the bathroom, the flight attendants directed her to a different lavatory. Instead, she pulled down her pants and urinated on the floor, Choldin wrote in the affidavit, which was based on his interviews and those of other federal officials.
The more I think about this, and her age, I wonder if Alzheimer's might be an issue.


 
What Does The Fourth Amendment Protect?


Jim Lindgren asks a question over at Volokh Conspiracy
about the original meaning of the Fourth Amendment, in the context of the wiretapping case that is currently in the news. One of the comments observes:
Just wanted to throw in that strictly as an original matter, there is strong evidence that the framers of the Fourth Amendment did not want there to be a warrant requirement for any kind of search. The test was whether the search is reasonable.
From my book For the Defense of Themselves and the State:
In discussing the need for a Bill of Rights, Jefferson recognized that a general principle was occasionally a mixed blessing:
The few cases wherein these things may do evil, cannot be weighed against the multitude where the want of them will do evil.
Jefferson then discussed how the suspension of habeas corpus had been abused so often by the government of England that the few times it had
done real good, that operation is now become habitual, & the minds of the nation almost prepared to live under it’s [sic] constant suspension... If no check can be found to keep the number of standing troops within safe bounds, wile they are tolerated as far as necessary, abandon them altogether, discipline well the militia, & guard the magazines with them... My idea then is, that tho’ proper exceptions to these general rules are desirable & probably practicable, yet if the exceptions cannot be agreed upon, the establishment of the rules in all cases will do ill in very few. I hope therefore a bill of rights will be formed to guard the people against the federal government, as they are already guarded against their state governments in most cases.
In response to Jefferson’s letter, Madison’s letter of October 17, 1788, described his thoughts on how a Bill of Rights should be drafted:
Supposing a bill of rights to be proper the articles which ought to compose it, admit of much discussion. I am inclined to think that absolute restrictions in cases that are doubtful, or where emergencies may overrule them, ought to be avoided. The restrictions however strongly marked on paper will never be regarded when opposed to the decided sense of the public; and after repeated violations in extraordinary cases, they will lose even their ordinary efficacy. Should a Rebellion or insurrection alarm the people as well as the Government, and a suspension of the Hab. Corp. be dictated by the alarm, no written prohibitions on earth would prevent the measure. Should an army in time of peace be gradually established in our neighborhood by Britn: or Spain, declarations on paper would have as little effect in preventing a standing force for the public safety. The best security agst. these evils is to remove the pretext for them...

Madison’s perceptions of how republics work were more realistic than Jefferson’s; the internment of Japanese-Americans during World War II shows that when the desire is strong, parchment protections give way. In a similar way, after the Civil War, at the end of the Roaring Twenties, and in the turbulent 1960s, the paper protections of the Second Amendment and its state analogs gave way.

Madison’s reluctance to draw the sort of strict line that Jefferson proposed may be seen in the qualifying phrases, “but in a manner warranted by law” in the Third Amendment, and such broadly interpretable phrases as, “Excessive bail,” “excessive fines,” and “without probable cause.” Yet other amendments proposed by Madison ring with Jeffersonian certainty:
The civil rights of none shall be abridged on account of religious belief or worship, nor shall any national religion be established, nor shall the full and equal rights of conscience be in any manner, or on any pretext infringed.

The people shall not be deprived or abridged of their right to speak, to write, or to publish their sentiments...

The right of the people to keep and bear arms shall not be infringed;...
Those who see the broad and sweeping language of the Second Amendment as reflecting a broader protection than was intended should consider this exchange between Madison and Jefferson. Madison expressed his desire to avoid unnecessarily broad declarations of rights; because they would be trespassed by the majority, such declarations would lose their importance in the public mind. Not surprisingly, we find that some of the rights that Madison sought to protect are sufficiently qualified and limited that they would not be a hopeless obstacle to the public desires; but some rights—including the individual rights section of the Second Amendment and the protections of the First Amendment—are written in the broadest possible language, leaving no room for the majority to restrict the individual rights.


Wednesday, August 16, 2006
 
Hollywood Is Not A Monolith

It's nice to see actors and directors that you've heard of prepared to take a stand:
NICOLE Kidman has made a public stand against terrorism.

The actress, joined by 84 other high-profile Hollywood stars, directors, studio bosses and media moguls, has taken out a powerfully-worded full page advertisement in today's Los Angeles Times newspaper.

It specifically targets "terrorist organisations" such as Hezbollah in Lebanon and Hamas in Palestine.

"We the undersigned are pained and devastated by the civilian casualties in Israel and Lebanon caused by terrorist actions initiated by terrorist organisations such as Hezbollah and Hamas," the ad reads.

"If we do not succeed in stopping terrorism around the world, chaos will rule and innocent people will continue to die.

"We need to support democratic societies and stop terrorism at all costs."

A who's who of Hollywood heavyweights joined Kidman on the ad.

The actors listed included: Michael Douglas, Dennis Hopper, Sylvester Stallone, Bruce Willis, Danny De Vito, Don Johnson, James Woods, Kelly Preston, Patricia Heaton and William Hurt.

Directors Ridley Scott, Tony Scott, Michael Mann, Dick Donner and Sam Raimi also signed their names.
Wow. To oppose terrorism in Hollywood takes a lot of courage.


 
Your Tax Dollars At Work

And I don't mean that in a cynical way. Spend a bit of time reading through the abstracts of some of the research being done on schizophrenia and LSD through this link or "schizophrenia genetic predisposition" through this link. I know enough (just barely) about the biochemistry and genetics of this stuff--and where some of this basic research could easily lead--that it makes me proud to be heavily taxed. Now, I know that some of this basic research isn't government-funded--but I'm sure that a lot of it is. It's money well-spent.


 
This Shouldn't Be a Surprise

It's just a tragedy. Did the increase in use of LSD and other hallucinogenic drugs in the late 1960s affect the rate of mental illness? Nashaat N. Boutros, Malcolm B. Bowers, Jr., and Donald Quinlan, "Chronological Association Between Increases in Drug Abuse and Psychosis in Connecticut State Hospitals," Journal of Neuropsychiatry and Clinical Neurosciences [February 1998] 10:48-54 examines statistical correlations between drug-related hospital admissions and psychotic/mood disorder first admissions to Connecticut mental hospitals. They make a pretty strong case, based on the time lag (three to five years) and the gender and age characteristics of the two groups, that the drug abuse led to increased mental illness.

Because there was a substantial time lag between the two events, there's no question about the direction of causality: an increase in drug abuse could have caused the increase in mental illness; the reverse is clearly not possible.

Now, in some circles, this is a very nasty thing to point out. Some people, rather than admit that perhaps the drug warriors might have had a point, insist that illegal drugs, at least used in reasonable quantities, really aren't destructive. While the study linked above isn't conclusive in a "proved in a court of law" way, it is certainly persuasive--especially when you read some of the methods that they used to determine if this might have been a coincidence.


 
Mental Illness & Civil Commitment: Primary Sources Online

A practice that I have started since the Bellesiles scandal is to do a quick sanity check on an historian's claims. If there are primary sources that he or she cites, and I can easily check some of those cites, I do so. The Bellesiles scandal demonstrated that even checking 5% of the citations would have identified serious dishonesty problems.

One of the commonly cited examples of civil commitment for insanity is a 1759 account from Public Records of the Colony of Connecticut, 11:313:
Upon the memorial of Benajah Humphry of Symsbury, representing to this Assembly that his son Roger Humphry having while a soldier in the army in the year 1757, become delirous and distracted and in his distraction killed his mother, and thereof upon tryal for murder before the adjourned superior court held in Hartford in June last was found not guilty altogether on the account of his distraction, and thereupon cost of prosecution not being paid was by said court committed to goal [apparently a misspelling of gaol, the English spelling of jail] in Hartford, where he now lies by virtue of such commitment, and still is distracted; praying for relief and the direction of this Assembly, as by the memorial on file: Resolved by this Assembly, that the memorialist have liberty to take the said Roger out of said goal, and that the chief judge of the said court with one of the assistant judges of said court are desired to give orders for the release from goal and delivery of the said Roger to the memorialist; and the memorialist is hereby directed and ordered to take and safely keep said Roger and provide for him.
The Symsbury government was directed to "see to it that said Roger be safely kept at the expence of the memorialist." The Assembly granted forty pounds to Roger's father to assist in caring for Roger.

This must have been a very painful situation--Benajah's wife is dead; his son is insane; and he has taken it upon himself (with a little help from the colonial government) to maintain, effectively, an insane asylum for one.

In 1761, at 11:590-1, Benajah again requested assistance from the Assembly in caring for his son, and they gave him twenty pounds more.

An account that I had not seen cited, at 11:111-2 involves Mary Hall, whose behavior had become so worrisome as she wandered "from town to town and place to place, to the great disquiet of many people whoere she goes by reason of her ill behaviour" that the Assembly directed that if she was found outside her home town of Wallingford, she was to be arrested and returned to Wallingford--and Wallingford would be charged the costs. There's no detail on exactly what Mary Hall did as she wandered, but considering that most people aren't terribly afraid of women, I suspect that it must have been pretty frightening.


 
Ten Commandments in Boise

You may recall that to make the Rev. Fred Phelps ("God Hates Fags") happy, the Democrats on the Boise City Council voted to remove a Ten Commandments monument from Julia Davis Park. The rationale was that the Ten Commandments monument was almost certainly a violation of "separation of church and state" and Boise wasn't going to waste money defending a suit that they would probably lose--even though there were advocates willing to pay for the defense. As it turned out, when the Supreme Court finally made a decision in a case quite similar to this--the Ten Commandments monument on the grounds of the Texas legislature--they ruled that it was okay. The decision was Van Orden v. Perry (2005).

This decision wasn't popular with the people of Boise, and a local group attempted to put this matter to a vote of the people. The Boise city government, of course, being dominated by Democrats, certainly isn't going to allow democratic decision making, and found a judge prepared to accept that while a legislative action by the city could be subject to referendum, an administrative action could not. The Idaho Supreme Court has recently ruled 4-1 that no, the people really do get to vote on this matter. The decision of the Idaho Supreme Court is here:
Article III, Section 1 of the Idaho Constitution reserves power to propose and enact legislation to the people independent of the legislature. It provides in part:
The people reserve to themselves the power to propose laws, and enact the same at the polls independent of the legislature. This power is known as the initiative, and legal voters may, under such conditions and in such manner as may be provided by acts of the legislature, initiate any desired legislation and cause the same to be submitted to the vote of the people at a general election for their approval or rejection.
The manner in which the initiative power may be exercised is set forth in I.C. § 34-1701, et seq., and § 34-1801, et seq. Idaho Code § 50-501 states, “[t]he city council of each city shall provide by ordinance for direct legislation by the people through the initiative and referendum.” The City of Boise City achieved this when it enacted Boise Municipal Code § 1-22-01, et seq. Section 1-22-01 provides, “The People of this City shall have the right to enact ordinances through the initiative process, and to repeal ordinances through the referendum process, according to the procedures set forth herein.” The language of I.C. § 50-501 indicates that initiatives and referenda are to be used for legislation. This Court has held, “referenda and initiatives in Idaho are constrained to addressing ‘acts’ or ‘measures’ passed by a legislative body.
Got that, liberals? The people are supreme--not judges, not the ACLU, and not the American Atheist Association. There are limits on the power of the government, and it can be legitimate to overturn a popular vote if it clearly violates the federal or state constitution, but to prohibit the voters even being given a chance to express an opinion--that's the sort of high-handed elitism that I have come to expect from liberals. As the Idaho Supreme Court decision went on to point out:
Doubtless there may be a cost in conducting an election on an initiative that ultimately fails, or is ruled invalid, or set aside by the legislature. However, the initiative process arises from the Idaho Constitution, Article III, Section 1, and extends to the cities by legislative mandate. I. C. § 50-501. It is not an inconvenience created by rabble rousers and malcontents to vex established authority. The initiative process is a mandate, significant enough to be embodied in the Idaho Constitution, that enables voters to address issues of concern. Sometimes it compels authorities to listen when nothing else will.

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Democrats: Now That We've Help Destroyed Your Electoral Hopes, Give Us More Power!

I received a press release that must have been shotgunned to every political blogger, in which homosexual activists, having played a minor contributing role to marginalizing the Democratic Party, ask for more power:
This Friday in Chicago at the biannual Democratic National Committee (DNC) meeting, Gov. Howard Dean, Chairman of the Democratic Party, will hopefully have his political players, senior staff, and chits lined up to give the LGBT community increased representation within the Democratic Party process by requiring that all fifty state parties include local LGBT politicos and activists in their delegation that is sent to the largest Democratic party around, the Democratic National Convention. The Democratic National Convention is where lifelong political alliances are made, state political networks sealed, not to mention where the party¹s candidate for President is selected. Now it¹s the LGBT community¹s turn to take part in American Democratic politics by being fully represented. This could be a first step to Gov. Deans¹ queer version of "The 50 State Strategy", leaving no state behind.

Why is this important? Sadly, this election cycle finds many states left behind in Gov. Dean¹s existing ³50 State Strategy². The LGBT groups fighting the anti-gay state marriage ballot measures in states such as Alabama, Tennessee, South Dakota, and South Carolina receive no help, or outright hostility, from the Democratic Party in their states. Over the years, progressive and inclusive states such as California, New York, and Massachusetts have moved forward in LGBT civil rights, and simultaneously given the national party a safety blanket and a crutch for the lack of representation of LGBT democrats in delegations from states such as Alabama, Tennessee, South Dakota, and South Carolina, however unintentionally. In 2004, 37 of the 50 states had no plans to include the LGBT community in their delegation, leading the LGBT community to represent only 5% of those attending the convention and disproportionately represented by the above coastal states. This lack of respect and dignity given at the state level has placed the DNC in the position to put out many fires, often times unsuccessfully, regarding how the Democrat state party is treating the LGBT democrats and electorate.


Tuesday, August 15, 2006
 
Have You Heard The Joke About the Multiculturalist Who Committed National Suicide?

Unfortunately, it may not be a joke. This disturbing article from the Times of London is about how anti-Semitic humor is becoming fashionable:
Wandering through the streets of Edinburgh during the world’s largest arts festival, you never know what sight or sound you will be bombarded with next. Half-naked men on 6ft stilts meander by, half-naked girls rush to sell you their show, troops of Japanese acrobats tumble past. But I wasn’t prepared for the verbal assault I got when I wandered into a comedy gig this week.

There have always been anti-Semitic jokes. But you know times are changing when you go along to a stand-up show at the Pleasance Courtyard at the Edinburgh Fringe and you hear audience members shouting “Throw them in the oven” when the comic suggests kids should stop playing Cowboys and Indians and replace it with Nazis and Jews.
For those leftists who like to pretend that the emerging intellectual fashion is only "anti-Zionism" or "anti-Israelism," note: not "Arabs and Israelis" but "Nazis and Jews." Clear enough?

Some of the rest of this account makes me wonder if "comic" is the right word:
I’ve seen two comics so far who have been happy to amuse their crowds with Holocaust gags. I’m not sure which to be the more concerned about.

One was a left-leaning angry Australian conspiracy theorist, Steve Hughes, whose show The Storm is an assault on all things Western. “I want to bash Condoleezza Rice’s brain to bits and kill that f****** Jew Richard Perle.” Hughes is the one at the Pleasance Courtyard while Perle is an adviser to George W. Bush as he was to Ronald Reagan and Bill Clinton on foreign affairs.
Multiculturalists pretend that there is no genuinely "right" or "wrong," and therefore Western nations should not treat our national cultures as preferable to say, Muslim immigrants who insist on sex-segregated beaches, or who defend "honor killings" of wayward daughters. Somehow, their cultures are just as good as ours--but we have to change our traditions to accomodate them--when Muslim countries are often not even willing to change their laws to allow Christians to proselytize.

But what is this sudden rise of anti-Semitism as an intellectually acceptable practice? It isn't "all cultures are equal" but "Muslims hate Jews, therefore we must accommodate their preferences." Jews for the Preservation of Firearms Ownership has always struck me as just a bit...extreme in their rhetoric. I didn't disagree with their principles, but I used to think, "The next time genocide happens, it won't be a civilized Western government exterminating Jews--it will be something else." I'm not so sure about that anymore.


 
Humor

Cruel humor sent by a reader:
Engineer #1: Implementing this Arabic stuff has caused me to learn the darnedest things. Did you know that "al-" is the root for alcohol?

Engineer #2: You mean like, "Al Jazeera?"

Engineer #1: Yeah, and "Al Qaida."

Engineer #3 (the boss): Or "Al Gore?"
I am reminded of something that happened to a co-worker some years ago. He went to the post office to pick up a package. He had a book in his hand that had the word "algorithms" in it. Another person standing in line looked at the title and asked, "Is that a book of the sayings of Al Gore?"

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Cue The Jetsons Theme

When I went to the dentist this morning for my semiannual cleaning, instead of sticking a piece of film in my mouth for the X-rays, they put in a digital sensor instead. Yup! Digital X-rays! The technician said that along with the obvious advantage that they had the image up in a second or two (so they knew immediately if they had a useable image) and no film costs--it also has about 1/3 the radiation exposure of film.

UPDATE: A reader tells me that his dentist has done likewise, and reports that the resolution of the pictures is much higher than film, so he can do much more detailed examinations.

My reader also reports that the digital sensor is smaller and less sharp than the film commonly used--a major source of pain and upset when he was a child.


 
Why I Get Upset When I See Gun Control Advocates Argue That Rape Doesn't Justify Gun Ownership

I've seen gun control advocates argue that rape really isn't such a serious matter that it justifies a potential victim owning a gun. (Not every gun control advocate, of course. I am going to assume that most gun control advocates aren't this evil, although I am sure that some just know it would be bad politics to take this position.) Do they really believe this? I don't know. They may just have engaged in the ultimate form of reductionism--that if guns are bad, then any use of a gun, no matter for what purpose, must be bad. I read a news account like this one, and I just get very, very angry when I think of some of these morons that I have argued with over the years:
MIDDLETOWN - When Cathy Lindsey's youngest son handed her a .380-caliber pistol a year ago, he gave her a word of advice.

"It boils down to one thing," said Charlie Keith, an Army veteran who served two tours in Iraq. "Kill or be killed. You have to fight for your life."

Twenty-three years after Lindsey was bound, tortured and raped by three men in her home while her three young children huddled behind a dresser, the 48-year-old grandmother is planning to do just that.

Two of Lindsey's three attackers will be released from prison Aug. 28 and are expected to return to Middletown, where they would live within a mile or two of Lindsey's home.

The homecoming for Richard Reed Jr., 53, and his cousin Robert Lee Hogsten, 48, comes five years early. They pleaded guilty to the 1983 rape in exchange for dismissing other felony charges.

Hogsten's brother, Edward, did not take a plea bargain. He was convicted at trial and was sentenced to 28 to 68 years. He recently was denied early release. The 50-year-old will be eligible for parole again in 2011.

Lindsey is terrified the men will make good on a threat she says they made years ago.

"They made it very clear if I told anyone, they would come back and kill me - and I told," she said.

Lindsey has fought over the years with petition drives, letters and appearances before parole board to keep the trio in prison.

Now, she'll be ready if anyone comes after her.

She's taken kick-boxing and self-defense classes. She practices her shooting skills almost weekly at a Sharonville target range. She and her husband, Michael, are applying for permits to carry a concealed weapon.

Michael Lindsey, a state prison guard, has stocked up on ammunition.

"This home is an arsenal," he said of their cottage on Stanley Street. "I sleep with a .45 under my pillow. I've been preparing for this for two years. I'm not a survivalist, but I'm going to do what I've got to do."

'THEY MADE ME BEG'

Lindsey was a single mother raising three kids, a part-time Laundromat clerk and a student at Miami University with a 4.0 average and plans to become a registered nurse.

Her dreams and sense of security vanished early Sept. 2, 1983.

About 2 a.m. Lindsey woke up on the sleeper sofa in her apartment on North Sutphin Avenue to find a man standing next to her.

He was naked except for a pillow case over his head with two eyeholes cut out, and he had a small black and white gun. Within minutes, two other men joined him. They told her they were members of the Ku Klux Klan.

Over the next four hours, Lindsey was bound with a plastic clothes line, burned with a cigarette lighter, threatened with a gun, then a knife. All the while the three men took turns sexually assaulting her.

"The worst part wasn't the rape. It was making me beg over and over and over. They put the gun down my throat and just made me beg - beg for my life, beg for mercy, beg them not to hurt my children," Lindsey recalled.

When it was over and the men were gone, Lindsey discovered that her phones had been ripped out of the wall. So she got dressed, threw a blanket around her children and drove herself to Middletown Regional Hospital.

Within three hours, Middletown police arrested Reed, who lived across the street from Lindsey with his wife, a son and twin daughters.

Detectives found damning evidence at Reed's house: a small black handgun with white grips, a pillow case with two holes cut from it, and clothesline.

Fingerprints from Lindsey's apartment and blood from the men linked them to the rape. Lindsey later identified Edward Hogsten from a police lineup.

All three men denied involvement in the crime.
Of course. One of the reasons that I encourage women to buy guns, is this:
Lindsey has suffered nightmares of being snatched away by the trio and brutalized all over again - a flare-up of the post traumatic stress disorder she has suffered for 23 years. Lindsey is afraid to drive or leave her house alone, even to her job as a licensed practical nurse at a nursing home.

"You are always looking over your shoulder. You're always wondering who's following you, and now they are coming back. It's a constant thing," she said.
She's armed. She's trained in self-defense. She hasn't recovered from what happened to her, and she may never do so. If she owned a gun 23 years ago, it might not have done any good. It sounds like they entered her apartment without making enough noise to wake her. But of this you can be sure: if she, or some other victim of these animals had been armed, there's a good chance that they wouldn't be getting out of prison.


 
House Project: Enforcing Warranty Compliance

The builder sent an email asking to know when he could pick up the final check. We have been waiting for several months for the plumber to show up to tighten up the kitchen faucet and replace the broken hose bib handle. Amazingly enough, the morning after I told him the check would be available, "after all the warranty work has been finished," the plumber showed up, and did his tasks. (He also removed the very expensive Harmsco stainless steel lead filtration housing. We don't need it; we aren't using it; I'm hoping to find someone who doesn't want to pay $1100 for a new one.)

Anyway, all that is left is one cracked tile (not badly cracked, but still visible) and the screens that need to be redone in aluminum, so the grasshoppers don't continue eating them. With luck, this should be done by Monday.

Last house project entry.

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Monday, August 14, 2006
 
That's My Job, To Improve The Health of My Readers

I've mentioned my positive experiences with the Breathe Right strips--and some of my readers have profited from it:
Reading your blog prompted me to try these strips for about a week now.

I am definitely getting a deeper sleep.
I feel my appetite has decreased and I seem to feel full faster when I do eat. I'm 5'9", 270 lbs, so this has to help.

But most satisfying is that my dreams have become more peaceful. Normally I have terrible nightmares with incredibly tense scenes and ones of complete fustration, even to the point of being woken unable to breathe. I assume this is because I actually did stop breathing. I still dream a bunch but haven't had the hell scared out of me for about a week now.

I don't know about the snoring - my wife says she so used to it she's blocked me out at night.

I'm sold on these strips!
Another reader had a somewhat different experience as a result--and from reading about my screen-eating grasshoppers:
After reading your blog note on Breathe-Rite strips, I located a couple of strips left over from when I used to use them regularly some years ago and put one on last night. (I had stopped using them because the adhesive was removing too much of my nose skin.) Result: who knows if I had better sleep or not, but I sure had a weird dream. I had a dream that a massive swarm of grasshoppers or locusts had been spotted, and that people were warned to take refuge in their houses. I did so, and somehow developed the idea that I urgently needed to turn off the HVAC system to keep them from entering that way. At that point I woke up.
And:
I know this may come as a surprise, but my purpose for writing is to thank you for your "sinus surgery' article.

I am facing the same kind of surgery, so your play-by-play action was comforting...it at least helped stop the radical path ones mind can take when assuming what it is "really like" with no substantive knowledge.

This may seem like an unlikely metaphor; however, your article was a lot like my first seeing slides of Cairo, Egypt before moving my family there for a two-year graduate school internship in 1989. When I saw those slides, I was enlightened, or at least, forewarned. I believe your article will do the same thing for me; albeit in a much different setting.
I spent Friday through Monday visiting some friends in the Reno area, and photographing antique guns as eye candy for the next book. Unfortunately, I took the small/medium sized Breathe Right strips, which do not work quite as well for me. I'm sure whatever progress I was making on weight loss was completely defeated by a couple too many excellent meals in some of the Reno casinos. (One of the friends we were visiting had made some four digit wins the previous day on the slot machines, and insisted on buying us dinner.)

UPDATE: Another blogger reports on taking my advice:
Clayton tried Breathe Right Nasal Strips. Reading of his success, I tried them and had three of the best nights of sleep, I have had in the several years.

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Understanding Mental Illness

Everytime I think some real progress has been made in educating members of the chattering classes about the complex problems associated with mental illness, I see one of those reminders that there's a lot of work to go.

Bill O'Reilly's style irritates me a lot, but he often has as at least a basic command of the facts--even when he playing to his populist (not conservative) base. I have often wanted to say, "Mr. O'Reilly, yes, I agree that this is outrageous, but just because a majority wants something, and just because the ACLU often creates the most absurd arguments to subvert majority will, does not make majority will automatically right."

I was watching The O'Reilly Factor the other night, and O'Reilly and Geraldo Rivera were discussing the Andrea Yates re-trial for the drowning murders of her five children. O'Reilly and Rivera were both horrified that she was found not guilty by reason of insanity (NGRI).

Now, there are some very serious problems with NGRI--which is why a number of states, in the last few years, have replaced NGRI with "guilty, but insane." You don't get out any sooner, but you end up in a hospital for the criminally insane--not a prison. But O'Reilly and Rivera were insisting that Yates was not insane, because of the level of premeditation involved. This shows that O'Reilly and Rivera have not the least understanding of the basis of NGRI, or paranoid schizophrenia.

I suppose if Andrea Yates had murdered her children because she had life insurance on them, or because they were a hindrance to her wanting to go back to work, or they preventing her from getting a boyfriend (as happened with a case in South Carolina some years ago), you could make a pretty strong case that Yates was evil, but not insane. But she had no rational reason (outside of the schizophrenic delusions from which she was suffering) to murder her children--and for a mother to murder her children without any reason, good or bad, is about as irrational as it gets.

I think that state laws that provide for NGRI need to be reformed--and this very extreme example, shows it too well. Thanks to blogger Lone Star Times for bringing this double tragedy to my attention. Here's the latest tragedy:
SAN ANTONIO - A jury Thursday took about six hours to sentence Kenneth Lee Pierott Jr. to 60 years in prison for the murder of a 6-year-old Beaumont boy.

The only show of emotion was a female juror's tears.

"The jury did as much as the law can do to this defendant," Jefferson County prosecutor Ed Shettle said.

Pierott will be eligible for parole in 30 years, just as he would be if given a life sentence.

Shettle asked jurors Thursday morning to "protect society" when deciding Pierott's punishment.

Kenneth Lee Pierott Jr., 28, pleaded not guilty by reason of insanity to smothering Tre-Devin Odoms, his girlfriend's son, and stuffing him in an oven. While prosecutors agreed he was mentally ill, they contended his actions before and after the event demonstrated a guilty - if diseased - mind.

Pierott faces up to life in prison. The jury began deliberation about 9:45 a.m.

Despite the testimony of two doctors who said they believed Pierott was so psychotic at the time of Tre-Devin's death he did not know right from wrong, jurors believed prosecutors.

Pierott's parents pleaded for mercy from the jurors for their son. They agreed he needed to be punished for his crime, but said he also needed treatment for his mental illness.
Why is this a double tragedy, and why am I picking on NGRI? Because this isn't the first time that Pierott has murdered someone:
According to a police affidavit, Pierott placed the boy in an oven and left him there all night on April 15. Pierott had been dating the boy's mother.

Police say the pilot light wasn't lit so the oven did not heat. An autopsy report indicated the boy died from asphyxia due to smothering.

In 1998, Pierott was found innocent by reason of insanity in the fatal beating of his sister.
The book that I am starting to work on is not, primarily, about criminal insanity. But tragedies like this are part of what has gone terribly wrong. Pierott was released after beating to death his sister. In a more sane world, he would not have been released so quickly. His psychiatrist's opinion--and that of his family--would have carried more weight:
Beaumont psychiatrist Dr. Edward Gripon, who has known Pierott more than eight years, testified that while on medication, Pierott tends to do well, but he has a history of non-compliance.

"On probation, there's nobody watching you everyday and you can abscond," assistant district attorney Ramon Rodriguez said. "And at some point the term is over and supervision ends."

Gripon, who first evaluated Pierott in 1996 following the 1996 bludgeoning death of his sister, 25-year-old Stephanie Pierott, testified Pierott would always suffer from mental illness.

Defense attorney Tom Burbank leveled with the jury and admitted there were no guarantees Pierott would stay on his medication.

He told the jury probation was an option if they sentenced him to 10 years or less. Weighing the severity of the offense with Pierott's mental illness, Burbank asked for a sentence "somewhere in between" community supervision and life in prison.

While cross examining Pierott's father, Kenneth Pierott Sr., Shettle asked if Pierott would pose a danger to members of his family while not on medication.

"I would think he could be," Pierott Sr. said.